gambler13

16Proven trader

0x73192b9597c4496f8c338b36239bdf4218ac0299· stats updated 5d ago

Realized PnL

+$2,195

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

48%

170 of 351 resolved

Resolved markets

351

Portfolio value

$14,664

Capital deployed

$1,648,420

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$13,203

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.0/30Return 0.1/25Consistency 0.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -3.9Total 16.2 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	Yes	25.0¢	$6,507	-$9,763	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	Yes	5.5¢	$3,035	-$3,753	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	Yes	13.2¢	$1,606	-$238	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	16.3¢	$1,052	-$52	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	6.6¢	$937	-$1,159	Trade ↗
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	51.2¢	$638	-$508	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	Yes	8.4¢	$493	-$25	Trade ↗
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	Yes	32.0¢	$188	+$25	Trade ↗
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	Yes	7.7¢	$168	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?	Yes	1.7¢	$14	-$4	Trade ↗
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	Yes	19.0¢	$9	-$34	Trade ↗
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	Yes	53.0¢	$8	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027?	Yes	0.7¢	$4	-$16	Trade ↗
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027?	Yes	1.0¢	$3	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?	Yes	3.3¢	$2	-$9	Trade ↗
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?	Yes	2.1¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027?	Yes	0.3¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?	Yes	13.8¢	$0	-$1,500	Trade ↗
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?	Yes	4.5¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?	Yes	0.9¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?	Yes	0.2¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	19.8¢	$0	-$20	Trade ↗
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	3.0¢	$0	-$300	Trade ↗
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	2.5¢	$0	-$73	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?	Yes	10.0¢	$0	-$189	Trade ↗
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	Yes	3.7¢	$0	-$15	Trade ↗
Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in May?	Yes	5.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?	Yes	22.3¢	$0	-$4,493	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 19, 2026?	Yes	19.4¢	$0	-$162	Trade ↗
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?	Yes	20.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	Yes	0.2¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Trump meets with Putin by September 30?	Yes	1.5¢	$0	-$7	Trade ↗
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?	No	49.0¢	$0	-$25	Trade ↗
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?	Yes	0.5¢	$0	-$12	Trade ↗
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?	Yes	2.9¢	$0	-$36	Trade ↗
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?	Yes	0.7¢	$0	-$16	Trade ↗
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	Yes	2.9¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	Yes	3.0¢	$0	-$107	Trade ↗
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	Yes	27.7¢	$0	-$4,819	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
58d ago	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	SELL	Yes	44.0¢	$13,203