
Mrage
13Qualified whaleProven trader0x6f46821c6f3f395725e59009c19f1183d6181bba· stats updated 8d ago
Realized PnL
+$32,333
closed + open positions
Return on capital
8%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
41%
154 of 374 resolved
Resolved markets
374
Portfolio value
$9,948
Capital deployed
$422,887
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$10,001
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
2
Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)
PnL 2.1/30Return 6.4/25Consistency 0.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -15.0Total 13.5 / 100
Current positions
| Market | Outcome | Avg price | Value | Unrealized PnL | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 91.0¢ | $9,946 | -$55 | Trade ↗ |
| Will a hurricane make landfall in Texas by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 17.6¢ | $2 | -$3 | Trade ↗ |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on August 24? | Yes | 19.9¢ | $0 | -$23 | Trade ↗ |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 96°F or higher on September 9? | Yes | 34.7¢ | $0 | -$14 | Trade ↗ |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 29.0¢ | $0 | -$435 | Trade ↗ |
| Will Tropical Storm Dolly strengthen to a hurricane? | Yes | 3.7¢ | $0 | -$49 | Trade ↗ |
Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)
| Time | Market | Side | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11d ago | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | Yes | 91.0¢ | $10,001 |
WhaleWatcher