keepsfailingupwards
35Proven trader0x6eb50d7b2858bb6992ef0826310832e3d7b08588· stats updated 1d ago
Realized PnL
+$13,603
closed + open positions
Return on capital
2%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
89%
92 of 103 resolved
Resolved markets
103
Portfolio value
$6,322
Capital deployed
$800,436
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$46,361
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
2
Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)
PnL 0.0/30Return 1.4/25Consistency 24.6/25Sample size 15.6/20Concentration -6.9Total 34.7 / 100
Current positions
| Market | Outcome | Avg price | Value | Unrealized PnL | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | Yes | 94.0¢ | $3,748 | +$59 | Trade ↗ |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 62.0¢ | $2,574 | +$708 | Trade ↗ |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30? | Yes | 74.0¢ | $0 | -$2,331 | Trade ↗ |
| Ismael Saibari: 1+ shots on target | Yes | 98.3¢ | $0 | -$569 | Trade ↗ |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31? | Yes | 85.0¢ | $0 | -$3,248 | Trade ↗ |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9? | No | 87.7¢ | $0 | -$421 | Trade ↗ |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15? | Yes | 88.0¢ | $0 | -$13,288 | Trade ↗ |
Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)
| Time | Market | Side | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15d ago | US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25? | SELL | Yes | 99.9¢ | $13,288 |
| 15d ago | Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? | SELL | No | 99.9¢ | $10,134 |
| 22d ago | Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? | BUY | No | 99.1¢ | $11,671 |
| 26d ago | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | Yes | 99.7¢ | $11,267 |
WhaleWatcher