Anon5566

0x5a560d135484258aa509f6720d31c4ed24f0adab· stats updated 5d ago

Realized PnL

-$42,232

closed + open positions

Return on capital

-2%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

65%

198 of 304 resolved

Resolved markets

304

Portfolio value

$91,849

Capital deployed

$1,699,397

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$10,666

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.0/30Return 0.0/25Consistency 9.5/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -3.0Total 26.5 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	85.3¢	$36,637	+$4,040	Trade ↗
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	42.0¢	$31,338	+$1,229	Trade ↗
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	48.6¢	$7,558	+$3,358	Trade ↗
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	83.6¢	$3,276	+$409	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	18.2¢	$3,200	-$649	Trade ↗
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	72.9¢	$1,403	+$207	Trade ↗
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	87.7¢	$1,328	+$135	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	49.7¢	$1,050	-$342	Trade ↗
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	92.4¢	$1,025	+$46	Trade ↗
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	76.0¢	$971	-$13	Trade ↗
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	22.0¢	$709	-$69	Trade ↗
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	10.0¢	$695	-$305	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	58.0¢	$688	-$406	Trade ↗
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by October 31?	No	93.6¢	$546	+$34	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	85.4¢	$450	+$48	Trade ↗
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?	No	88.8¢	$421	+$34	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	27.1¢	$182	+$9	Trade ↗
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	82.0¢	$150	+$24	Trade ↗
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?	No	59.8¢	$73	+$24	Trade ↗
Will Tom Homan leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	91.4¢	$66	-$12	Trade ↗
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	52.0¢	$40	-$17	Trade ↗
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	83.0¢	$19	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	13.0¢	$13	-$3	Trade ↗
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	86.0¢	$10	+$1	Trade ↗
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	58.0¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	38.6¢	$0	-$38	Trade ↗
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	63.9¢	$0	-$2,291	Trade ↗
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	11.8¢	$0	-$1,037	Trade ↗
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	62.4¢	$0	-$1,225	Trade ↗
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 3 Norway?	Yes	6.0¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	33.0¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	22.1¢	$0	-$5,214	Trade ↗
Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?	No	23.0¢	$0	-$23	Trade ↗
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance	Japan	29.0¢	$0	-$20	Trade ↗
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance	DR Congo	25.0¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
6d ago	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	Yes	44.7¢	$10,666