WhaleWatcher
Vanquish
390x4baf4239188fb0b708e4d16872986e1fa9af5fdf· stats updated 10d ago
Realized PnL
-$605
closed + open positions
Return on capital
0%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
81%
233 of 286 resolved
Resolved markets
286
Portfolio value
$32,051
Capital deployed
$1,183,575
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$10,670
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
9
Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)
PnL 0.0/30Return 0.0/25Consistency 19.7/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -0.6Total 39.1 / 100
Current positions
| Market | Outcome | Avg price | Value | Unrealized PnL | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? | No | 90.8¢ | $8,973 | +$629 | Trade ↗ |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15? | No | 94.0¢ | $7,295 | +$410 | Trade ↗ |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | No | 92.0¢ | $5,500 | +$202 | Trade ↗ |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 93.0¢ | $4,697 | -$128 | Trade ↗ |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | No | 97.5¢ | $3,003 | +$50 | Trade ↗ |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 88.2¢ | $2,196 | -$13,944 | Trade ↗ |
| Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026? | No | 96.0¢ | $380 | -$4 | Trade ↗ |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by October 31, 2026? | No | 53.0¢ | $5 | +$2 | Trade ↗ |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 85.0¢ | $4 | -$1 | Trade ↗ |
Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)
| Time | Market | Side | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35d ago | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship? | BUY | No | 97.0¢ | $10,670 |