MoonLambo1205

48Qualified whaleProven trader

0x49e94011df9060dcc367995892faeb193e348f85· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

+$71,908

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

83%

91 of 110 resolved

Resolved markets

110

Portfolio value

$133,563

Capital deployed

$1,660,897

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$133,046

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 8.6/30Return 3.6/25Consistency 20.4/25Sample size 16.0/20Concentration -0.8Total 47.9 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	97.6¢	$38,469	+$108	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	95.7¢	$27,216	-$523	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	No	94.4¢	$18,644	+$986	Trade ↗
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	No	87.9¢	$17,504	+$871	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	94.0¢	$17,366	-$1,506	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	61.0¢	$9,316	-$2,654	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	88.3¢	$5,048	+$231	Trade ↗
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	49.0¢	$0	-$980	Trade ↗
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	27.3¢	$0	-$4,484	Trade ↗
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	66.5¢	$0	-$8,467	Trade ↗
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	No	86.7¢	$0	-$10,391	Trade ↗
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	56.0¢	$0	-$5,159	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?	No	68.9¢	$0	-$4,923	Trade ↗
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	34.0¢	$0	-$340	Trade ↗
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	3.7¢	$0	-$1,000	Trade ↗
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?	Yes	7.0¢	$0	-$308	Trade ↗
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	No	48.2¢	$0	-$2,974	Trade ↗
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?	No	33.2¢	$0	-$2,163	Trade ↗
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?	No	93.7¢	$0	-$1,764	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?	No	64.0¢	$0	-$1,187	Trade ↗
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	No	84.0¢	$0	-$5,040	Trade ↗
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	No	74.2¢	$0	-$4,902	Trade ↗
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	27.4¢	$0	-$549	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	No	72.0¢	$0	-$10,080	Trade ↗
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	67.0¢	$0	-$670	Trade ↗
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?	No	35.0¢	$0	-$2,099	Trade ↗
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	5.1¢	$0	-$1,200	Trade ↗
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?	Yes	4.6¢	$0	-$92	Trade ↗
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?	No	89.6¢	$0	-$3,071	Trade ↗
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	90.7¢	$0	-$9,986	Trade ↗
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?	Yes	19.0¢	$0	-$608	Trade ↗
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	65.9¢	$0	-$6,115	Trade ↗
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	No	29.3¢	$0	-$1,038	Trade ↗
Iran strike on US military by February 28?	No	81.4¢	$0	-$3,856	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
8d ago	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	BUY	No	97.0¢	$23,350
8d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	BUY	No	97.6¢	$34,797
8d ago	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	BUY	Yes	94.0¢	$18,872
19d ago	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	BUY	No	97.7¢	$14,979
20d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	SELL	No	99.5¢	$18,010
24d ago	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	BUY	No	90.0¢	$10,700
33d ago	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?	SELL	No	99.6¢	$12,338