0x485a2E9AD89D9109BB4d37b925bA60f6350421cB-1768423550172

0x485a2e9ad89d9109bb4d37b925ba60f6350421cb· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

-$153,491

closed + open positions

Return on capital

-2%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

33%

11 of 33 resolved

Resolved markets

Portfolio value

$34,814

Capital deployed

$7,144,210

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$23,946

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.0/30Return 0.0/25Consistency 0.0/25Sample size 8.0/20Concentration -12.2Total 0.0 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	10.8¢	$30,001	-$28,763	Trade ↗
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	7.5¢	$3,835	-$4,159	Trade ↗
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	Yes	9.9¢	$978	-$166	Trade ↗
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Ghana?	Yes	11.0¢	$0	-$87	Trade ↗
Exact Score: DR Congo 1 - 0 Uzbekistan?	Yes	16.0¢	$0	-$80	Trade ↗
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 3 Portugal?	Yes	3.9¢	$0	-$160	Trade ↗
Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	16.0¢	$0	-$52	Trade ↗
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Cabo Verde?	Yes	19.0¢	$0	-$95	Trade ↗
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	5.0¢	$0	-$25	Trade ↗
Will UK strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	4.3¢	$0	-$549	Trade ↗
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	1.8¢	$0	-$818	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	1.7¢	$0	-$6,524	Trade ↗
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	0.9¢	$0	-$1,404	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$5,987	Trade ↗
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?	Yes	7.1¢	$0	-$214	Trade ↗
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	Yes	2.6¢	$0	-$1,593	Trade ↗
Exact Score: Panama 0 - 1 England?	Yes	9.0¢	$0	-$90	Trade ↗
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	No	37.3¢	$0	-$261	Trade ↗
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	23.3¢	$0	-$762	Trade ↗
Exact Score: Croatia 0 - 0 Ghana?	Yes	13.0¢	$0	-$104	Trade ↗
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	Yes	3.1¢	$0	-$5,082	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	Yes	2.9¢	$0	-$2,192	Trade ↗
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	5.2¢	$0	-$3,324	Trade ↗
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	Yes	4.6¢	$0	-$1,961	Trade ↗
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	Yes	7.3¢	$0	-$47	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
77d ago	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	Yes	7.0¢	$10,500
79d ago	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	Yes	7.0¢	$13,446