WhaleWatcherschizohedgehog
45Qualified whaleProven trader0x4755188644460fc8140a18ccefc1e80b6a5e4158· stats updated 3d ago
Realized PnL
+$164,149
closed + open positions
Return on capital
4%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
80%
51 of 64 resolved
Resolved markets
64
Portfolio value
$326,608
Capital deployed
$4,587,309
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$243,019
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
9
Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)
PnL 15.3/30Return 3.0/25Consistency 18.6/25Sample size 12.4/20Concentration -4.4Total 44.8 / 100
Current positions
| Market | Outcome | Avg price | Value | Unrealized PnL | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 89.3¢ | $153,434 | +$3,661 | Trade ↗ |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 97.0¢ | $98,435 | +$993 | Trade ↗ |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 86.8¢ | $34,960 | +$3,480 | Trade ↗ |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 60.8¢ | $14,015 | -$2,852 | Trade ↗ |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | No | 62.0¢ | $10,019 | -$2,401 | Trade ↗ |
| Will STRC hit $100 by October 31? | No | 65.6¢ | $5,428 | +$1,186 | Trade ↗ |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 84.0¢ | $4,938 | +$454 | Trade ↗ |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 87.0¢ | $2,938 | +$260 | Trade ↗ |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 53.8¢ | $2,441 | -$160 | Trade ↗ |
Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)
| Time | Market | Side | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11d ago | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | No | 97.2¢ | $18,086 |
| 38d ago | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | No | 90.0¢ | $62,293 |
| 38d ago | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | No | 90.0¢ | $37,049 |
| 38d ago | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | No | 93.0¢ | $37,200 |
| 48d ago | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | No | 97.7¢ | $42,457 |
| 55d ago | Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | Yes | 86.8¢ | $31,480 |
| 61d ago | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | Yes | 56.5¢ | $14,455 |