5038813185

13Qualified whaleProven trader

0x453ae5e896ea243f332ed97c1c77bf2888ce81d2· stats updated 3d ago

Realized PnL

+$48,564

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

52%

53 of 102 resolved

Resolved markets

102

Portfolio value

$8,231

Capital deployed

$1,775,372

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$11,713

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 5.4/30Return 2.3/25Consistency 1.2/25Sample size 15.5/20Concentration -11.6Total 12.8 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	20.4¢	$6,834	-$1,367	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes	11.5¢	$1,018	-$5,300	Trade ↗
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	Yes	12.7¢	$231	-$1,793	Trade ↗
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?	Yes	45.0¢	$74	+$29	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?	Yes	11.0¢	$65	-$3	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	15.3¢	$8	-$7	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	80.0¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	32.7¢	$0	-$494	Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 2?	Yes	6.0¢	$0	-$8	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	19.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Eagles vs. Patriots	Eagles	14.3¢	$0	-$367	Trade ↗
England vs. Ghana: England O/U 0.5	Over	47.0¢	$0	-$470	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?	Yes	5.7¢	$0	-$148	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?	No	4.7¢	$0	-$34	Trade ↗
Aston Villa FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5	Over	21.4¢	$0	-$1,887	Trade ↗
England vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5	Over	50.6¢	$0	-$372	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	5.7¢	$0	-$24	Trade ↗
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?	Yes	0.1¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?	No	1.2¢	$0	-$47	Trade ↗
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	33.2¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 11?	No	7.5¢	$0	-$8	Trade ↗
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	30.0¢	$0	-$2,836	Trade ↗
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?	No	7.9¢	$0	-$159	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	23.0¢	$0	-$46	Trade ↗
Spread: 49ers (-14.5)	Rams	16.7¢	$0	-$866	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 2?	No	7.0¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?	No	25.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 2?	No	5.5¢	$0	-$281	Trade ↗
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	Yes	13.8¢	$0	-$82	Trade ↗
US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?	Yes	66.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	1.5¢	$0	-$240	Trade ↗
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?	Yes	27.7¢	$0	-$6	Trade ↗
Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 1.5	Over	28.6¢	$0	-$500	Trade ↗
Israel closes its airspace by June 11?	Yes	11.1¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Austin FC: O/U 3.5	Over	43.0¢	$0	-$452	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	5.0¢	$0	-$229	Trade ↗
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?	No	3.4¢	$0	-$590	Trade ↗
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	No	55.0¢	$0	-$264	Trade ↗
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?	Yes	17.2¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Mexico vs. England: O/U 5.5	Over	47.8¢	$0	-$478	Trade ↗
Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?	Yes	13.0¢	$0	-$39	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	4.9¢	$0	-$485	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	Yes	1.7¢	$0	-$1,180	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 2?	Yes	10.2¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	1.1¢	$0	-$242	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 15-21?	Yes	12.0¢	$0	-$60	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 6-12?	Yes	32.0¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	2.2¢	$0	-$801	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11?	No	5.0¢	$0	-$43	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
55d ago	Fed rate hike in 2026?	BUY	Yes	66.0¢	$11,713