5038813185

14Qualified whaleProven trader

0x453ae5e896ea243f332ed97c1c77bf2888ce81d2· stats updated 7d ago

Realized PnL

+$38,527

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

48%

38 of 80 resolved

Resolved markets

Portfolio value

$33,559

Capital deployed

$1,315,813

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$11,713

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 3.5/30Return 2.4/25Consistency 0.0/25Sample size 13.9/20Concentration -5.3Total 14.5 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?	Yes	41.0¢	$17,371	+$5,092	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	17.4¢	$6,497	+$366	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	17.9¢	$3,652	-$83	Trade ↗
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	Yes	7.6¢	$2,273	-$19	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	7.3¢	$1,494	-$932	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes	11.7¢	$1,067	-$183	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	Yes	39.0¢	$690	-$90	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	86.0¢	$168	-$3	Trade ↗
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	Yes	1.6¢	$119	+$28	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	Yes	3.5¢	$116	-$127	Trade ↗
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?	Yes	45.0¢	$55	+$10	Trade ↗
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by September 15, 2026?	Yes	78.4¢	$49	+$9	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	97.4¢	$5	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	53.0¢	$3	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	80.0¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	32.7¢	$0	-$494	Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 2?	Yes	6.0¢	$0	-$8	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	19.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Eagles vs. Patriots	Eagles	14.3¢	$0	-$367	Trade ↗
England vs. Ghana: England O/U 0.5	Over	47.0¢	$0	-$470	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?	Yes	5.7¢	$0	-$148	Trade ↗
Aston Villa FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5	Over	21.4¢	$0	-$1,887	Trade ↗
England vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5	Over	50.6¢	$0	-$372	Trade ↗
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?	Yes	0.1¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?	No	1.2¢	$0	-$47	Trade ↗
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	33.2¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 11?	No	7.5¢	$0	-$8	Trade ↗
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?	No	7.9¢	$0	-$159	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 2?	No	7.0¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?	No	25.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 2?	No	5.5¢	$0	-$281	Trade ↗
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	Yes	13.8¢	$0	-$82	Trade ↗
US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?	Yes	66.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	1.5¢	$0	-$240	Trade ↗
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?	Yes	27.7¢	$0	-$6	Trade ↗
Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 1.5	Over	28.6¢	$0	-$500	Trade ↗
Israel closes its airspace by June 11?	Yes	11.1¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?	No	3.4¢	$0	-$590	Trade ↗
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?	Yes	17.2¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Mexico vs. England: O/U 5.5	Over	47.8¢	$0	-$478	Trade ↗
Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?	Yes	13.0¢	$0	-$39	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 2?	Yes	10.2¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 15-21?	Yes	12.0¢	$0	-$60	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 6-12?	Yes	32.0¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	2.2¢	$0	-$801	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11?	No	5.0¢	$0	-$43	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
9d ago	Fed rate hike in 2026?	BUY	Yes	66.0¢	$11,713