aenews2

83Qualified whaleProven trader

0x44c1dfe43260c94ed4f1d00de2e1f80fb113ebc1· stats updated 8h ago

Realized PnL

+$10,388,887

closed + open positions

Return on capital

10%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$162,510

Capital deployed

$105,431,740

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$994,624

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 8.2/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 83.2 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	73.0¢	$22,979	+$761	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	25.9¢	$16,152	+$3,255	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	22.2¢	$15,783	-$3,149	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	74.0¢	$11,488	+$77	Trade ↗
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	No	74.2¢	$10,408	+$1,274	Trade ↗
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?	Yes	96.2¢	$9,133	+$89	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes	30.3¢	$8,341	+$915	Trade ↗
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	94.0¢	$7,263	-$118	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	71.8¢	$6,772	+$250	Trade ↗
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	94.6¢	$4,852	+$35	Trade ↗
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	Yes	51.4¢	$4,690	+$384	Trade ↗
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	12.6¢	$4,292	-$12,548	Trade ↗
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	43.6¢	$4,235	+$879	Trade ↗
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	28.5¢	$4,004	-$1,430	Trade ↗
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	42.2¢	$2,721	+$706	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	No	22.0¢	$2,515	+$911	Trade ↗
Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	58.8¢	$1,975	+$221	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	11.8¢	$1,896	-$7,655	Trade ↗
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	34.9¢	$1,670	-$1,394	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	23.7¢	$1,592	-$5,265	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat?	Yes	85.0¢	$1,404	-$8	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat?	No	83.9¢	$1,249	+$9	Trade ↗
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	6.7¢	$1,207	-$1,274	Trade ↗
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	40.4¢	$1,055	-$3,958	Trade ↗
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	33.8¢	$1,013	-$412	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	Yes	80.0¢	$975	+$123	Trade ↗
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?	Yes	64.0¢	$904	-$77	Trade ↗
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	93.2¢	$902	+$19	Trade ↗
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	56.8¢	$870	-$1,599	Trade ↗
Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $21M?	No	32.1¢	$782	+$509	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	Yes	20.0¢	$758	-$1,574	Trade ↗
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	39.2¢	$671	-$1,836	Trade ↗
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Yes	7.6¢	$656	-$605	Trade ↗
Will Karoline Leavitt be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	94.4¢	$621	+$11	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	58.6¢	$604	+$29	Trade ↗
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?	Yes	19.9¢	$442	-$48	Trade ↗
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	Yes	40.7¢	$435	-$1,338	Trade ↗
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	22.3¢	$411	-$919	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	26.0¢	$372	+$70	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	Yes	8.2¢	$330	-$669	Trade ↗
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	32.4¢	$322	-$341	Trade ↗
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	67.2¢	$291	-$1,687	Trade ↗
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2028?	Yes	16.8¢	$282	+$148	Trade ↗
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	30.8¢	$269	-$302	Trade ↗
Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	No	57.5¢	$267	+$113	Trade ↗
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	Yes	13.1¢	$225	-$169	Trade ↗
EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?	Yes	15.8¢	$164	+$24	Trade ↗
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	Yes	29.8¢	$160	-$138	Trade ↗
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	28.7¢	$144	-$40	Trade ↗
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	Yes	28.6¢	$135	-$99	Trade ↗
Will 1 person leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?	No	87.8¢	$135	-$47	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	80.0¢	$127	+$16	Trade ↗
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	18.4¢	$116	-$572	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	No	31.0¢	$107	+$6	Trade ↗
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?	Yes	26.0¢	$103	-$70	Trade ↗
X banned in any European country by December 31?	Yes	29.6¢	$97	-$132	Trade ↗
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Yes	20.4¢	$95	-$81	Trade ↗
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	Yes	8.4¢	$95	-$184	Trade ↗
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?	Yes	44.4¢	$89	-$73	Trade ↗
Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?	No	95.9¢	$88	-$32	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	12.5¢	$83	-$251	Trade ↗
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	Yes	15.0¢	$81	+$3	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	51.0¢	$75	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?	Yes	6.7¢	$73	-$105	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	40.5¢	$72	+$31	Trade ↗
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	61.2¢	$45	-$122	Trade ↗
Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?	Yes	94.0¢	$43	+$2	Trade ↗
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?	Yes	43.1¢	$41	-$73	Trade ↗
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	Yes	16.8¢	$41	-$212	Trade ↗
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by December 31, 2026?	Yes	91.0¢	$38	-$31	Trade ↗
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by December 31?	Yes	79.0¢	$28	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Yes	6.0¢	$27	-$31	Trade ↗
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	Yes	69.5¢	$25	-$150	Trade ↗
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	59.1¢	$23	+$6	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	Yes	21.4¢	$22	-$85	Trade ↗
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	No	71.0¢	$20	+$5	Trade ↗
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping by October 31?	Yes	14.5¢	$16	-$67	Trade ↗
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2028?	Yes	87.0¢	$14	-$1	Trade ↗
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?	Yes	15.2¢	$10	-$14	Trade ↗
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	15.0¢	$7	-$9	Trade ↗
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	Yes	14.3¢	$5	-$1	Trade ↗
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?	Yes	74.0¢	$4	+$0	Trade ↗
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?	Yes	17.0¢	$3	-$1	Trade ↗
John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?	Yes	21.0¢	$3	-$3	Trade ↗
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?	Yes	45.0¢	$3	-$11	Trade ↗
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes	15.0¢	$2	+$1	Trade ↗
Sudan civil war ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	Yes	18.0¢	$1	-$1	Trade ↗
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?	Yes	31.6¢	$1	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	Yes	36.0¢	$1	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	49.9¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	37.1¢	$0	-$985	Trade ↗
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	10.0¢	$0	-$746	Trade ↗
Will Matt Maasdam be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?	Yes	19.6¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	No	31.4¢	$0	-$14,643	Trade ↗
Will Trump say "Ballroom" this week?	Yes	31.0¢	$0	-$310	Trade ↗
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 75m?	Yes	20.0¢	$0	-$6,052	Trade ↗
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?	No	30.8¢	$0	-$1,701	Trade ↗
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?	Yes	20.0¢	$0	-$13,559	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 13, 2026?	No	7.3¢	$0	-$20	Trade ↗
Will the International Association of Judges win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	1.4¢	$0	-$361	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
8h ago	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?	BUY	Yes	25.9¢	$10,877
2d ago	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	BUY	No	73.0¢	$22,185
3d ago	Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	SELL	No	86.0¢	$101,510
6d ago	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	BUY	Yes	74.0¢	$20,807
6d ago	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	BUY	Yes	58.6¢	$14,939
8d ago	Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	BUY	Yes	58.8¢	$11,973
10d ago	Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	BUY	Yes	13.0¢	$66,728
11d ago	Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	BUY	No	82.0¢	$22,419
16d ago	Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	BUY	No	84.7¢	$17,353
25d ago	Trump renames AI by September 30?	BUY	Yes	97.1¢	$13,494
34d ago	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BUY	Yes	95.9¢	$11,527
34d ago	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BUY	Yes	95.9¢	$10,530
34d ago	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BUY	Yes	95.8¢	$12,715
34d ago	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BUY	Yes	96.0¢	$16,915
36d ago	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BUY	Yes	82.0¢	$16,658
36d ago	Trump vetoes Russia sanctions bill?	BUY	No	99.9¢	$10,816
39d ago	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	SELL	No	70.4¢	$14,333
43d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	SELL	No	81.0¢	$32,244
47d ago	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	SELL	Yes	95.0¢	$70,019
49d ago	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	BUY	Yes	70.2¢	$13,068
50d ago	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	BUY	Yes	79.2¢	$23,208
51d ago	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	BUY	Yes	13.7¢	$61,501
53d ago	Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?	BUY	No	99.7¢	$11,078
53d ago	Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?	BUY	No	98.3¢	$21,633
54d ago	Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	BUY	No	99.9¢	$102,035