Trashbag

44Qualified whaleProven trader

0x42fa340061a94072a818e540c3e80d8148d81fc7· stats updated 3d ago

Realized PnL

+$32,228

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

88%

110 of 125 resolved

Resolved markets

125

Portfolio value

$436,388

Capital deployed

$2,429,506

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$15,327

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 2.1/30Return 1.1/25Consistency 23.8/25Sample size 16.9/20Concentration 0.0Total 43.8 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?	No	90.6¢	$69,559	+$5,901	Trade ↗
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	90.7¢	$60,555	+$3,920	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	89.0¢	$58,321	+$5,601	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	93.3¢	$51,078	+$2,862	Trade ↗
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?	No	90.3¢	$42,681	+$3,621	Trade ↗
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	No	88.2¢	$39,930	+$3,840	Trade ↗
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	91.3¢	$39,073	+$1,870	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	95.5¢	$19,349	+$749	Trade ↗
NATO article 5 before 2027?	No	93.5¢	$12,150	+$243	Trade ↗
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?	No	92.3¢	$10,754	+$489	Trade ↗
Macron out by December 31, 2026?	No	94.3¢	$8,584	+$97	Trade ↗
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	79.7¢	$5,739	+$955	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?	No	85.8¢	$4,524	+$587	Trade ↗
Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?	No	92.8¢	$3,857	+$102	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	76.0¢	$2,972	+$615	Trade ↗
Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2026?	No	94.7¢	$2,838	+$56	Trade ↗
Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 9M ETH before 2027?	No	91.5¢	$1,705	+$55	Trade ↗
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?	No	92.3¢	$973	+$47	Trade ↗
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?	No	75.4¢	$868	+$29	Trade ↗
Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?	No	76.4¢	$306	+$63	Trade ↗
Will Aster reach $1.80 by December 31, 2026?	No	78.4¢	$237	+$37	Trade ↗
Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 7M ETH before 2027?	No	76.3¢	$144	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	79.0¢	$99	+$19	Trade ↗
Will Aster reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026?	No	79.8¢	$92	+$15	Trade ↗
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	0.6¢	$0	-$9	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	49.8¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Ethereum flipped in 2026?	No	40.0¢	$0	-$20	Trade ↗
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Paraguay?	Yes	0.2¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Trump say "Venezuela" while addressing the nation on December 17?	Yes	83.0¢	$0	-$50	Trade ↗
Will "Trump" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (January 25)	Yes	77.3¢	$0	-$30	Trade ↗
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?	Yes	13.0¢	$0	-$52	Trade ↗
Will Bernie Sanders be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?	No	66.3¢	$0	-$500	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	97.3¢	$0	-$34,044	Trade ↗
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?	Yes	72.0¢	$0	-$150	Trade ↗
French forces seize another oil tanker by Feb 28?	No	0.1¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Piers Morgan be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?	No	78.5¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?	No	93.0¢	$0	-$412	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
77d ago	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	SELL	No	91.9¢	$15,327