Trashbag

43Qualified whaleProven trader

0x42fa340061a94072a818e540c3e80d8148d81fc7· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$29,301

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

88%

109 of 124 resolved

Resolved markets

124

Portfolio value

$457,473

Capital deployed

$2,634,563

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$15,327

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 1.3/30Return 0.9/25Consistency 23.7/25Sample size 16.8/20Concentration 0.0Total 42.7 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?	No	90.6¢	$68,540	+$4,882	Trade ↗
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	90.7¢	$59,681	+$3,045	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	93.0¢	$59,411	+$2,912	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	89.0¢	$56,840	+$4,120	Trade ↗
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?	No	90.4¢	$42,227	+$3,135	Trade ↗
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	No	88.2¢	$39,357	+$3,267	Trade ↗
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	91.3¢	$38,075	+$872	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	95.5¢	$36,439	+$1,090	Trade ↗
NATO article 5 before 2027?	No	93.5¢	$11,780	-$126	Trade ↗
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?	No	92.3¢	$10,710	+$444	Trade ↗
Macron out by December 31, 2026?	No	94.3¢	$8,535	+$48	Trade ↗
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	79.7¢	$5,769	+$985	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?	No	85.8¢	$4,490	+$552	Trade ↗
Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?	No	92.8¢	$3,871	+$116	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	76.0¢	$2,868	+$512	Trade ↗
Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026?	No	94.7¢	$2,804	+$22	Trade ↗
Lecornu out as French PM by September 30, 2026?	No	98.0¢	$1,862	+$25	Trade ↗
Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 9M ETH before 2027?	No	91.5¢	$1,650	+$1	Trade ↗
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?	No	92.3¢	$954	+$27	Trade ↗
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?	No	75.4¢	$779	-$60	Trade ↗
Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?	No	76.4¢	$278	+$35	Trade ↗
Will Aster reach $1.80 by December 31, 2026?	No	78.4¢	$219	+$19	Trade ↗
Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 7M ETH before 2027?	No	76.3¢	$150	+$10	Trade ↗
Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	79.0¢	$93	+$13	Trade ↗
Will Aster reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026?	No	79.8¢	$91	+$13	Trade ↗
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	0.6¢	$0	-$9	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	52.1¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Ethereum flipped in 2026?	No	40.0¢	$0	-$20	Trade ↗
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Paraguay?	Yes	0.2¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Trump say "Venezuela" while addressing the nation on December 17?	Yes	83.0¢	$0	-$50	Trade ↗
Will "Trump" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (January 25)	Yes	77.3¢	$0	-$30	Trade ↗
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?	Yes	13.0¢	$0	-$52	Trade ↗
Will Bernie Sanders be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?	No	66.3¢	$0	-$500	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	79.1¢	$0	-$27,673	Trade ↗
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?	Yes	72.0¢	$0	-$150	Trade ↗
French forces seize another oil tanker by Feb 28?	No	0.1¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Piers Morgan be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?	No	78.5¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?	No	93.0¢	$0	-$412	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
31d ago	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	SELL	No	91.9¢	$15,327