0xrc

41Proven trader

0x40047c2a7f97b6849ec2a665425c171dc4b6c40b· stats updated 3d ago

Realized PnL

+$20,086

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

85%

276 of 325 resolved

Resolved markets

325

Portfolio value

$426,521

Capital deployed

$1,665,566

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$96,527

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.0/30Return 1.0/25Consistency 21.8/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -1.7Total 41.1 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	94.2¢	$143,100	+$2,282	Trade ↗
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	86.2¢	$99,373	+$7,650	Trade ↗
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	88.5¢	$71,105	+$5,540	Trade ↗
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	89.6¢	$53,497	+$3,612	Trade ↗
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	93.0¢	$19,949	+$1,257	Trade ↗
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	82.4¢	$15,456	+$1,063	Trade ↗
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	85.3¢	$4,675	+$412	Trade ↗
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	Yes	95.6¢	$2,927	+$94	Trade ↗
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	87.0¢	$2,130	+$105	Trade ↗
US x China Military clash before 2027?	No	92.0¢	$1,804	+$71	Trade ↗
Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?	No	91.0¢	$1,507	+$76	Trade ↗
Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?	No	77.4¢	$1,376	-$73	Trade ↗
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?	No	77.8¢	$1,113	+$43	Trade ↗
Will Qinwen Zheng win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	No	99.2¢	$1,082	-$9	Trade ↗
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	90.1¢	$991	+$63	Trade ↗
Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?	No	94.0¢	$883	-$13	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	88.9¢	$704	-$274	Trade ↗
China coup attempt before 2027?	No	91.0¢	$609	+$34	Trade ↗
Will BNB reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?	No	78.9¢	$604	+$27	Trade ↗
Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	93.8¢	$509	-$14	Trade ↗
Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026?	No	92.3¢	$477	+$32	Trade ↗
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	89.0¢	$423	+$27	Trade ↗
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	28.0¢	$317	+$145	Trade ↗
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	Yes	95.0¢	$275	-$7	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	84.0¢	$248	-$173	Trade ↗
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	Yes	87.0¢	$227	+$6	Trade ↗
Will BNB reach $1500 by December 31, 2026?	No	88.8¢	$223	+$12	Trade ↗
Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by September 30?	No	61.0¢	$191	+$69	Trade ↗
Will BNB reach $1300 by December 31, 2026?	No	88.0¢	$98	+$5	Trade ↗
Will Aster reach $1.60 by December 31, 2026?	No	91.3¢	$77	-$5	Trade ↗
Will BNB reach $1200 by December 31, 2026?	No	88.0¢	$73	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Xi Jinping purge Ding Xuexiang in 2026?	No	92.0¢	$64	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	98.0¢	$55	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	90.0¢	$54	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?	No	95.9¢	$51	+$0	Trade ↗
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?	No	93.5¢	$46	+$1	Trade ↗
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	No	94.1¢	$43	+$1	Trade ↗
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?	No	89.7¢	$42	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Aster dip to $0.20 by December 31, 2026?	No	92.0¢	$37	$0	Trade ↗
Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	97.5¢	$25	+$1	Trade ↗
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?	Yes	91.8¢	$24	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Aster reach $1.40 by December 31, 2026?	No	83.4¢	$24	-$1	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	89.0¢	$13	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Aster reach $1.80 by December 31, 2026?	No	92.0¢	$9	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	57.0¢	$6	+$1	Trade ↗
Will BNB reach $1400 by December 31, 2026?	No	90.0¢	$6	+$0	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
21d ago	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	BUY	No	95.8¢	$30,670
21d ago	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	SELL	No	96.0¢	$30,720
21d ago	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	BUY	No	95.7¢	$12,441
21d ago	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	SELL	No	87.0¢	$12,180
21d ago	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	BUY	No	95.6¢	$10,516