0xrc

42Qualified whaleProven trader

0x40047c2a7f97b6849ec2a665425c171dc4b6c40b· stats updated 3d ago

Realized PnL

+$29,597

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

85%

296 of 348 resolved

Resolved markets

348

Portfolio value

$412,780

Capital deployed

$1,819,554

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$130,178

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 1.4/30Return 1.4/25Consistency 21.9/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -2.4Total 42.2 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	94.3¢	$153,275	+$4,885	Trade ↗
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	87.3¢	$118,790	+$11,182	Trade ↗
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	91.9¢	$81,730	+$4,975	Trade ↗
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	82.4¢	$15,806	+$1,412	Trade ↗
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?	Yes	81.8¢	$5,252	+$283	Trade ↗
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	85.5¢	$4,909	+$534	Trade ↗
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	66.6¢	$2,467	+$388	Trade ↗
Trump meets with Putin by November 30?	Yes	79.5¢	$2,226	+$53	Trade ↗
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	87.0¢	$2,177	+$151	Trade ↗
Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?	No	92.4¢	$2,129	+$99	Trade ↗
US x China Military clash before 2027?	No	92.3¢	$1,979	+$105	Trade ↗
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?	No	77.8¢	$1,920	+$376	Trade ↗
Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?	No	94.5¢	$1,856	+$49	Trade ↗
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Yes	84.7¢	$1,768	-$14	Trade ↗
Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?	No	77.4¢	$1,507	+$58	Trade ↗
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?	No	97.4¢	$1,396	+$8	Trade ↗
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	91.6¢	$1,271	+$32	Trade ↗
Lai Ching-te visits US by December 31?	No	95.0¢	$1,003	+$33	Trade ↗
Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	94.2¢	$980	+$37	Trade ↗
Lai Ching-te visits US by June 30?	No	73.8¢	$871	+$180	Trade ↗
Will BNB reach $1500 by December 31, 2026?	No	92.4¢	$817	+$31	Trade ↗
Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by October 31?	No	98.3¢	$776	+$6	Trade ↗
Will Aster reach $1.60 by December 31, 2026?	No	93.1¢	$754	+$19	Trade ↗
Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by December 31?	No	96.0¢	$745	+$7	Trade ↗
Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026?	No	93.2¢	$645	+$14	Trade ↗
Will BNB reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?	No	78.9¢	$634	+$56	Trade ↗
Will Xi Jinping purge Ding Xuexiang in 2026?	No	95.5¢	$622	+$2	Trade ↗
China coup attempt before 2027?	No	91.0¢	$606	+$32	Trade ↗
Will BNB reach $1400 by December 31, 2026?	No	94.2¢	$467	+$4	Trade ↗
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	89.0¢	$432	+$36	Trade ↗
Will BNB reach $1300 by December 31, 2026?	No	93.1¢	$364	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Aster reach $1.40 by December 31, 2026?	No	91.1¢	$324	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Aster reach $1.80 by December 31, 2026?	No	92.3¢	$300	+$2	Trade ↗
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	Yes	88.5¢	$284	+$23	Trade ↗
Will BNB reach $1200 by December 31, 2026?	No	89.9¢	$255	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	84.0¢	$223	-$198	Trade ↗
Will Aster dip to $0.20 by December 31, 2026?	No	94.7¢	$189	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Aster reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026?	No	94.0¢	$181	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Aster dip to $0.40 by December 31, 2026?	No	91.2¢	$151	-$5	Trade ↗
US imposes new sanctions on China by October 31?	No	98.2¢	$135	+$1	Trade ↗
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	95.8¢	$95	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Huning in 2026?	No	96.8¢	$78	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	58.0¢	$70	+$5	Trade ↗
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	98.0¢	$56	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	90.0¢	$55	+$5	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?	No	95.9¢	$51	+$1	Trade ↗
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?	No	93.5¢	$48	+$3	Trade ↗
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	No	94.1¢	$43	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	37.3¢	$42	+$0	Trade ↗
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?	Yes	91.8¢	$25	+$1	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
3d ago	Suns vs. Trail Blazers	BUY	Trail Blazers	99.9¢	$19,757
31d ago	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	BUY	No	96.2¢	$13,895
67d ago	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	BUY	No	95.8¢	$30,670
67d ago	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	SELL	No	96.0¢	$30,720
67d ago	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	BUY	No	95.7¢	$12,441
67d ago	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	SELL	No	87.0¢	$12,180
67d ago	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	BUY	No	95.6¢	$10,516