spamburglar
220x3dcea221f0cfe43fb050155839ca9a266a952e3d· stats updated 12d ago
Realized PnL
+$14,548
closed + open positions
Return on capital
6%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
94%
15 of 16 resolved
Resolved markets
16
Portfolio value
$21,566
Capital deployed
$240,749
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$12,996
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
3
Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)
PnL 0.0/30Return 5.0/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 3.1/20Concentration -10.8Total 22.3 / 100
Current positions
| Market | Outcome | Avg price | Value | Unrealized PnL | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 78.6¢ | $17,078 | +$2,634 | Trade ↗ |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31? | No | 82.9¢ | $3,879 | +$364 | Trade ↗ |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 80.0¢ | $609 | +$62 | Trade ↗ |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 92.0¢ | $0 | -$407 | Trade ↗ |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 91.1¢ | $0 | -$25,587 | Trade ↗ |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | No | 81.6¢ | $0 | -$7,100 | Trade ↗ |
Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)
| Time | Market | Side | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39d ago | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15? | SELL | No | 99.9¢ | $12,996 |
WhaleWatcher