cowcat

92Qualified whaleProven trader

0x38e59b36aae31b164200d0cad7c3fe5e0ee795e7· stats updated 19h ago

Realized PnL

+$1,367,965

closed + open positions

Return on capital

21%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$246,765

Capital deployed

$6,537,282

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$19,853

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

500

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 17.4/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 92.4 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	39.1¢	$21,498	+$8,112	Trade ↗
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	53.2¢	$10,129	+$2,256	Trade ↗
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	11.1¢	$7,337	+$5,056	Trade ↗
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	58.5¢	$6,797	+$671	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	16.8¢	$6,208	-$2,847	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	15.9¢	$5,852	-$1,588	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	30.3¢	$2,941	-$185	Trade ↗
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	39.7¢	$2,849	+$694	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the CA-06 House seat?	No	91.5¢	$2,720	+$143	Trade ↗
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	51.7¢	$2,594	-$6,994	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-28 House seat?	Yes	87.8¢	$2,444	+$250	Trade ↗
Anduril IPO before 2027?	No	69.1¢	$2,354	+$605	Trade ↗
Databricks IPO before 2027?	No	58.2¢	$2,275	+$819	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-13 House seat?	Yes	92.0¢	$2,203	+$107	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-06 House seat?	Yes	92.0¢	$2,179	+$80	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	10.3¢	$2,155	+$1,142	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	31.0¢	$2,153	-$274	Trade ↗
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?	No	89.6¢	$2,087	+$134	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the MI-02 House seat?	Yes	92.0¢	$2,065	+$125	Trade ↗
Deel IPO before 2027?	No	40.7¢	$2,013	+$1,154	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-32 House seat?	Yes	92.0¢	$1,959	+$52	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	90.0¢	$1,947	+$147	Trade ↗
Will Guadalajara win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?	No	83.5¢	$1,947	-$49	Trade ↗
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	36.5¢	$1,944	+$741	Trade ↗
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	59.7¢	$1,929	-$2,675	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	66.0¢	$1,927	-$642	Trade ↗
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	40.6¢	$1,913	-$1,256	Trade ↗
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	31.0¢	$1,912	-$908	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-04 House seat?	Yes	92.0¢	$1,902	+$103	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-35 House seat?	Yes	92.0¢	$1,892	+$50	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-01 House seat?	Yes	91.0¢	$1,803	+$76	Trade ↗
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	Yes	24.2¢	$1,799	-$1,552	Trade ↗
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?	No	59.5¢	$1,685	+$375	Trade ↗
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	75.0¢	$1,589	+$196	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026?	Yes	92.0¢	$1,572	+$72	Trade ↗
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	9.4¢	$1,470	+$191	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the MO-07 House seat?	Yes	92.0¢	$1,465	+$39	Trade ↗
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	99.0¢	$1,457	+$12	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	85.0¢	$1,454	+$9	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	18.3¢	$1,430	-$508	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?	No	39.2¢	$1,402	+$688	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?	Yes	87.8¢	$1,386	-$13	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-08 House seat?	Yes	92.0¢	$1,347	+$78	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-16 House seat?	Yes	92.2¢	$1,328	+$93	Trade ↗
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?	Yes	21.8¢	$1,308	-$1,622	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-52 House seat?	Yes	90.7¢	$1,296	+$63	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the OK-02 House seat?	Yes	92.0¢	$1,277	+$34	Trade ↗
Vanta IPO before 2027?	No	78.7¢	$1,240	+$196	Trade ↗
Will Walt Weiss win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?	Yes	19.3¢	$1,225	+$496	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the HI-01 House seat?	No	95.0¢	$1,157	+$6	Trade ↗
Will Houston Astros win the 2026 AL West title?	Yes	32.5¢	$1,153	+$635	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-44 House seat?	Yes	91.5¢	$1,148	+$75	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the TX-08 House seat?	Yes	90.0¢	$1,134	+$54	Trade ↗
Rippling IPO before 2027?	No	79.3¢	$1,116	+$149	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the KS-03 House seat?	No	87.5¢	$1,085	+$80	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-02 House seat?	Yes	92.0¢	$1,061	+$28	Trade ↗
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?	No	98.9¢	$1,057	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?	No	43.6¢	$1,041	+$550	Trade ↗
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?	No	31.8¢	$1,010	+$616	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Illinois governor race in 2026?	No	96.0¢	$999	+$10	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?	No	86.6¢	$991	+$106	Trade ↗
Discord IPO before 2027?	No	36.3¢	$974	+$560	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the MI-09 House seat?	Yes	90.0¢	$960	+$46	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-09 House seat?	Yes	93.0¢	$944	+$26	Trade ↗
Brex IPO before 2027?	No	66.0¢	$913	+$303	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the CA-26 House seat?	No	90.0¢	$870	+$41	Trade ↗
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	52.8¢	$862	+$156	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-05 House seat?	No	65.6¢	$860	+$43	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?	Yes	75.9¢	$828	+$89	Trade ↗
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	74.0¢	$823	-$604	Trade ↗
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	27.2¢	$808	-$266	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the FL-12 House seat?	Yes	88.8¢	$805	+$32	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat?	Yes	82.2¢	$776	+$86	Trade ↗
Ramp IPO before 2027?	No	80.2¢	$774	+$88	Trade ↗
Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05?	No	83.6¢	$764	+$108	Trade ↗
Celonis IPO before 2027?	No	75.4¢	$762	+$157	Trade ↗
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	81.0¢	$752	+$107	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat?	Yes	77.9¢	$750	+$101	Trade ↗
Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?	Yes	82.6¢	$702	+$75	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the NC-08 House seat?	Yes	85.5¢	$690	+$45	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the FL-18 House seat?	Yes	88.0¢	$653	+$28	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the CA-23 House seat?	Yes	83.0¢	$653	+$71	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	91.7¢	$641	+$16	Trade ↗
Glean IPO before 2027?	No	84.5¢	$632	+$60	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the NY-23 House seat?	Yes	82.2¢	$625	+$63	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the OH-08 House seat?	Yes	80.9¢	$625	+$47	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-17 House seat?	Yes	93.0¢	$621	+$24	Trade ↗
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	13.0¢	$607	-$26	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-11 House seat?	Yes	90.2¢	$598	+$39	Trade ↗
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	No	68.4¢	$596	+$14	Trade ↗
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	96.8¢	$594	+$6	Trade ↗
Will Solana reach $300 by December 31, 2026?	No	86.8¢	$592	+$65	Trade ↗
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	94.8¢	$578	-$9	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the OK-05 House seat?	Yes	85.4¢	$555	+$13	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?	No	73.0¢	$540	-$36	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat?	Yes	58.5¢	$540	+$98	Trade ↗
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?	No	81.2¢	$540	+$76	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the GA-12 House seat?	Yes	84.0¢	$537	+$39	Trade ↗
Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?	Yes	53.2¢	$535	+$188	Trade ↗
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?	No	95.9¢	$524	-$13	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
15d ago	Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	Chicago Cubs	86.0¢	$19,853