cowcat

92Qualified whaleProven trader

0x38e59b36aae31b164200d0cad7c3fe5e0ee795e7· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$1,364,228

closed + open positions

Return on capital

21%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$241,332

Capital deployed

$6,650,497

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$35,065

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

500

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 17.1/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 92.1 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	39.1¢	$20,808	+$9,379	Trade ↗
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	53.2¢	$10,138	+$3,173	Trade ↗
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	11.1¢	$9,508	+$7,227	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	30.1¢	$9,181	+$1,283	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	36.0¢	$5,236	-$564	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	16.8¢	$4,049	-$5,006	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	16.1¢	$3,980	-$3,543	Trade ↗
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East?	No	52.0¢	$3,587	+$226	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	30.3¢	$3,560	+$434	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat?	Yes	71.1¢	$3,516	-$393	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	49.7¢	$3,314	-$1,605	Trade ↗
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	36.5¢	$3,242	+$2,040	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	49.3¢	$2,827	-$1,460	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the CA-06 House seat?	No	91.5¢	$2,759	+$183	Trade ↗
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	9.4¢	$2,553	+$1,275	Trade ↗
Anduril IPO before 2027?	No	69.1¢	$2,487	+$738	Trade ↗
Databricks IPO before 2027?	No	58.2¢	$2,445	+$989	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-28 House seat?	Yes	87.8¢	$2,414	+$220	Trade ↗
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	39.7¢	$2,252	+$97	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-13 House seat?	Yes	92.0¢	$2,237	+$141	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-06 House seat?	Yes	92.0¢	$2,205	+$106	Trade ↗
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?	No	89.6¢	$2,139	+$185	Trade ↗
Deel IPO before 2027?	No	40.7¢	$2,100	+$1,241	Trade ↗
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	31.0¢	$2,049	-$771	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the MI-02 House seat?	Yes	92.0¢	$2,037	+$98	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-32 House seat?	Yes	92.0¢	$2,013	+$106	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	90.0¢	$1,981	+$181	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-35 House seat?	Yes	92.0¢	$1,958	+$116	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-04 House seat?	Yes	92.0¢	$1,902	+$103	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-01 House seat?	Yes	91.0¢	$1,834	+$107	Trade ↗
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	No	75.0¢	$1,756	+$363	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026?	Yes	92.0¢	$1,607	+$107	Trade ↗
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	51.7¢	$1,575	-$8,013	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?	No	39.2¢	$1,566	+$852	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the MO-07 House seat?	Yes	92.0¢	$1,514	+$88	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?	Yes	87.8¢	$1,394	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	59.7¢	$1,350	-$3,254	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-08 House seat?	Yes	92.0¢	$1,344	+$75	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	14.7¢	$1,325	-$963	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the OK-02 House seat?	Yes	92.0¢	$1,321	+$78	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-52 House seat?	Yes	90.7¢	$1,318	+$84	Trade ↗
Vanta IPO before 2027?	No	78.7¢	$1,296	+$252	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-16 House seat?	Yes	92.2¢	$1,295	+$60	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	85.0¢	$1,191	-$255	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the HI-01 House seat?	No	95.0¢	$1,180	+$29	Trade ↗
Rippling IPO before 2027?	No	79.3¢	$1,152	+$185	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-44 House seat?	Yes	91.5¢	$1,131	+$57	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the TX-08 House seat?	Yes	90.0¢	$1,128	+$48	Trade ↗
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?	No	31.8¢	$1,121	+$727	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the KS-03 House seat?	No	87.5¢	$1,096	+$92	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-02 House seat?	Yes	92.0¢	$1,075	+$42	Trade ↗
Discord IPO before 2027?	No	36.3¢	$1,072	+$658	Trade ↗
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	No	73.4¢	$1,058	+$166	Trade ↗
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	40.6¢	$1,054	-$2,115	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?	No	43.6¢	$1,052	+$561	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?	No	86.6¢	$1,012	+$126	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the MI-09 House seat?	Yes	90.0¢	$975	+$60	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-09 House seat?	Yes	93.0¢	$948	+$30	Trade ↗
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	74.0¢	$925	-$502	Trade ↗
Brex IPO before 2027?	No	66.0¢	$917	+$307	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?	Yes	75.9¢	$916	+$176	Trade ↗
Will Walt Weiss win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?	Yes	19.3¢	$905	+$175	Trade ↗
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	Yes	24.2¢	$899	-$2,451	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the CA-26 House seat?	No	90.0¢	$889	+$61	Trade ↗
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	27.2¢	$887	-$187	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-05 House seat?	No	65.6¢	$848	+$30	Trade ↗
Ramp IPO before 2027?	No	80.2¢	$835	+$149	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat?	Yes	82.2¢	$810	+$120	Trade ↗
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	No	89.0¢	$790	+$30	Trade ↗
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	81.0¢	$766	+$121	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the FL-12 House seat?	Yes	88.8¢	$748	-$24	Trade ↗
Celonis IPO before 2027?	No	75.4¢	$739	+$135	Trade ↗
Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05?	No	83.6¢	$729	+$73	Trade ↗
Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?	Yes	82.6¢	$727	+$100	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the NC-08 House seat?	Yes	85.5¢	$723	+$78	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat?	Yes	77.9¢	$696	+$47	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the FL-18 House seat?	Yes	88.0¢	$675	+$50	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the CA-23 House seat?	Yes	83.0¢	$674	+$92	Trade ↗
Glean IPO before 2027?	No	84.5¢	$669	+$98	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the OH-08 House seat?	Yes	80.9¢	$664	+$87	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the NY-23 House seat?	Yes	82.2¢	$655	+$93	Trade ↗
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	52.8¢	$628	-$78	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-17 House seat?	Yes	93.0¢	$628	+$31	Trade ↗
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	96.8¢	$602	+$15	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	91.7¢	$596	-$29	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-11 House seat?	Yes	90.2¢	$595	+$36	Trade ↗
Will Solana reach $300 by December 31, 2026?	No	86.8¢	$593	+$66	Trade ↗
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	94.8¢	$592	+$5	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	26.0¢	$590	+$70	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	No	21.0¢	$588	-$46	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes	17.3¢	$580	+$261	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	10.3¢	$578	-$435	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat?	Yes	58.5¢	$570	+$129	Trade ↗
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?	No	81.2¢	$556	+$92	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?	No	73.0¢	$548	-$28	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?	Yes	71.7¢	$538	+$82	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the OK-05 House seat?	Yes	85.4¢	$536	-$6	Trade ↗
Will New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	No	91.7¢	$527	+$39	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-03 House seat?	Yes	88.0¢	$518	+$40	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat?	Yes	58.9¢	$511	+$87	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
17d ago	Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	BUY	Tampa Bay Rays	70.0¢	$15,212
60d ago	Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	Chicago Cubs	86.0¢	$19,853