truthteller

77Qualified whaleProven trader

0x30e443872ddf63b2908a49f92cd690c304a55102· stats updated 5h ago

Realized PnL

+$1,283,506

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$57,272

Capital deployed

$43,937,808

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$29,695

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 2.4/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 77.4 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	21.8¢	$10,454	-$657	Trade ↗
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?	Yes	31.0¢	$7,351	+$345	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	24.3¢	$5,179	-$182	Trade ↗
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	3.5¢	$5,062	+$3,129	Trade ↗
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?	No	95.4¢	$4,193	+$53	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	Yes	7.9¢	$3,865	+$3,545	Trade ↗
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	71.0¢	$2,583	+$217	Trade ↗
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	25.0¢	$2,411	-$680	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	63.0¢	$1,960	+$144	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	36.0¢	$1,697	+$23	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	97.1¢	$1,373	+$6	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	35.9¢	$1,262	+$20	Trade ↗
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.3¢	$1,170	-$833	Trade ↗
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	1.8¢	$1,025	+$120	Trade ↗
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	Yes	21.4¢	$874	+$42	Trade ↗
Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31?	No	94.9¢	$816	-$6	Trade ↗
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.2¢	$619	+$207	Trade ↗
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	75.0¢	$604	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	24.6¢	$545	-$52	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 0%-3%?	No	93.5¢	$457	+$16	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	10.4¢	$455	-$103	Trade ↗
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	23.0¢	$435	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	87.5¢	$379	-$7	Trade ↗
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	No	41.0¢	$293	-$19	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	27.0¢	$272	-$28	Trade ↗
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	60.0¢	$264	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	90.0¢	$258	+$6	Trade ↗
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?	Yes	11.9¢	$205	-$277	Trade ↗
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.2¢	$191	-$60	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	5.4¢	$184	-$1,338	Trade ↗
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	32.0¢	$175	+$8	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	4.9¢	$128	-$1,280	Trade ↗
Fed rate cut by March 2027 meeting?	Yes	14.0¢	$100	$0	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	1.7¢	$86	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	14.8¢	$60	+$5	Trade ↗
Obama federally charged before 2027?	No	97.3¢	$57	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.2¢	$57	$0	Trade ↗
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	Yes	6.3¢	$42	-$1,014	Trade ↗
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes	5.4¢	$38	-$29	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	4.9¢	$34	-$6	Trade ↗
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	18.0¢	$20	+$2	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	0.6¢	$19	+$5	Trade ↗
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	No	67.0¢	$13	-$0	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	1.3¢	$5	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	0.3¢	$4	+$3	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 3%-6%?	Yes	0.3¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 6?	No	2.3¢	$0	-$1,111	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 8?	No	1.7¢	$0	-$259	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	11.9¢	$0	-$86	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	21.3¢	$0	-$533	Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 11?	Yes	21.0¢	$0	-$84	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 12?	No	3.1¢	$0	-$749	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 4?	No	2.0¢	$0	-$2,258	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 8?	No	1.9¢	$0	-$152	Trade ↗
Will Trump say "Boeing" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	11.0¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 31-September 6?	Yes	6.1¢	$0	-$899	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	Yes	8.3¢	$0	-$267	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 6?	No	1.9¢	$0	-$607	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	14.2¢	$0	-$316	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 August 31-September 6?	Yes	0.8¢	$0	-$195	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	Yes	1.5¢	$0	-$28	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on September 6?	Yes	1.7¢	$0	-$202	Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 13?	No	2.0¢	$0	-$80	Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on September 4?	No	2.3¢	$0	-$276	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 4?	No	1.8¢	$0	-$1,128	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	5.3¢	$0	-$1,140	Trade ↗
Will Trump say "Comrade" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	15.0¢	$0	-$6	Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 7?	Yes	1.8¢	$0	-$355	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 7-13?	Yes	24.8¢	$0	-$92	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 August 31-September 6?	Yes	1.3¢	$0	-$258	Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 11?	Yes	4.6¢	$0	-$459	Trade ↗
Will JD Vance say "Social Security" during his rally in North Carolina?	No	64.4¢	$0	-$76	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 August 31-September 6?	Yes	1.5¢	$0	-$50	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 7-13?	Yes	3.1¢	$0	-$180	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on September 4?	Yes	3.6¢	$0	-$994	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 5?	No	2.9¢	$0	-$1,516	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on September 4?	Yes	1.2¢	$0	-$60	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?	No	26.1¢	$0	-$110	Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 11?	Yes	3.0¢	$0	-$132	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	Yes	4.3¢	$0	-$4,392	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 5?	Yes	1.9¢	$0	-$233	Trade ↗
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	2.8¢	$0	-$383	Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on September 5?	No	2.4¢	$0	-$153	Trade ↗
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	Yes	48.4¢	$0	-$2,114	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 12?	Yes	2.9¢	$0	-$523	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1?	No	2.0¢	$0	-$16	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$1,110	Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on September 11?	Yes	1.3¢	$0	-$110	Trade ↗
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	No	43.8¢	$0	-$1,219	Trade ↗
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	0.9¢	$0	-$318	Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on September 4?	No	1.7¢	$0	-$118	Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 8?	Yes	2.8¢	$0	-$274	Trade ↗
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands O/U 0.5	Under	23.0¢	$0	-$144	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 6?	No	3.0¢	$0	-$368	Trade ↗
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	No	32.0¢	$0	-$954	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 August 31-September 6?	Yes	1.0¢	$0	-$56	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	No	0.5¢	$0	-$8	Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on September 5?	No	2.1¢	$0	-$161	Trade ↗
Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	2.8¢	$0	-$164	Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,000 on September 4?	Yes	1.3¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
51d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	SELL	Yes	59.0¢	$15,340
58d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	SELL	Yes	68.0¢	$14,355