truthteller

77Qualified whaleProven trader

0x30e443872ddf63b2908a49f92cd690c304a55102· stats updated 3d ago

Realized PnL

+$1,553,270

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$58,179

Capital deployed

$45,314,792

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$29,695

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 2.9/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -0.6Total 77.2 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	3.3¢	$16,409	+$11,706	Trade ↗
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	45.7¢	$11,387	+$1,085	Trade ↗
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	15.2¢	$9,814	-$461	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	20.0¢	$9,493	-$19	Trade ↗
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.3¢	$1,637	-$133	Trade ↗
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	Yes	6.3¢	$1,229	-$744	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	29.5¢	$1,122	-$417	Trade ↗
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	Yes	50.0¢	$1,111	$0	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	67.0¢	$1,000	-$340	Trade ↗
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	28.0¢	$859	+$15	Trade ↗
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?	Yes	13.2¢	$747	-$1,051	Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 7?	Yes	6.0¢	$506	-$97	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	4.3¢	$304	-$24	Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 7?	Yes	1.8¢	$274	-$6	Trade ↗
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.3¢	$220	-$29	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in September?	Yes	6.3¢	$215	+$29	Trade ↗
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	8.6¢	$206	-$45	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September?	Yes	17.0¢	$192	+$11	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September?	Yes	11.3¢	$179	+$26	Trade ↗
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	1.3¢	$141	+$27	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September?	Yes	8.3¢	$109	+$9	Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 8?	Yes	2.3¢	$84	-$8	Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 6?	Yes	2.6¢	$82	-$101	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 8?	Yes	1.0¢	$70	-$21	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 8?	No	1.7¢	$68	-$191	Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 7?	Yes	1.0¢	$64	-$18	Trade ↗
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	2.8¢	$62	-$321	Trade ↗
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.3¢	$62	-$9	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on September 7?	Yes	1.9¢	$52	-$229	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 9?	Yes	3.0¢	$47	-$102	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September?	Yes	23.0¢	$47	+$6	Trade ↗
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$43	+$5	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 8?	No	1.9¢	$40	-$112	Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on September 6?	Yes	1.1¢	$38	+$5	Trade ↗
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	66.0¢	$36	+$8	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	Yes	1.5¢	$31	+$3	Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,000 on September 8?	Yes	1.1¢	$25	-$6	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 6?	No	2.3¢	$24	-$1,087	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 August 31-September 6?	Yes	1.5¢	$17	-$33	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 6?	No	1.9¢	$16	-$590	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 August 31-September 6?	Yes	2.5¢	$15	-$752	Trade ↗
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	60.0¢	$14	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 August 31-September 6?	Yes	3.3¢	$13	-$831	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 August 31-September 6?	Yes	0.8¢	$12	-$183	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	6.0¢	$12	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 August 31-September 6?	Yes	1.3¢	$10	-$248	Trade ↗
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes	6.0¢	$10	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on September 6?	No	1.5¢	$8	-$52	Trade ↗
Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	11.0¢	$8	-$29	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 6?	No	3.0¢	$6	-$362	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on September 6?	Yes	1.7¢	$6	-$196	Trade ↗
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	35.0¢	$3	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 August 31-September 6?	Yes	1.0¢	$3	-$53	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	0.8¢	$1	-$0	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	11.9¢	$0	-$86	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	21.3¢	$0	-$533	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 4?	No	2.0¢	$0	-$2,258	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	Yes	8.3¢	$0	-$267	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	14.2¢	$0	-$316	Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on September 4?	No	2.3¢	$0	-$276	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 4?	No	1.8¢	$0	-$1,128	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	5.3¢	$0	-$1,140	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on September 4?	Yes	3.6¢	$0	-$994	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 5?	No	2.9¢	$0	-$1,516	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on September 4?	Yes	1.2¢	$0	-$60	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?	No	26.1¢	$0	-$110	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	Yes	4.3¢	$0	-$4,392	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 5?	Yes	1.9¢	$0	-$233	Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on September 5?	No	2.4¢	$0	-$153	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1?	No	2.0¢	$0	-$16	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$1,110	Trade ↗
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	No	43.8¢	$0	-$1,219	Trade ↗
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	0.9¢	$0	-$318	Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on September 4?	No	1.7¢	$0	-$118	Trade ↗
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands O/U 0.5	Under	23.0¢	$0	-$144	Trade ↗
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	No	32.0¢	$0	-$954	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	No	0.5¢	$0	-$8	Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on September 5?	No	2.1¢	$0	-$161	Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,000 on September 4?	Yes	1.3¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on September 3?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$98	Trade ↗
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?	Yes	17.0¢	$0	-$6	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	22.6¢	$0	-$125	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 17?	Yes	10.2¢	$0	-$340	Trade ↗
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	0.1¢	$0	-$120	Trade ↗
Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	11.0¢	$0	-$11	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 5?	No	2.4¢	$0	-$964	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?	No	1.0¢	$0	-$86	Trade ↗
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance	Bosnia and Herzegovina	18.0¢	$0	-$538	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 4?	No	2.3¢	$0	-$1,334	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 5?	No	2.6¢	$0	-$483	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 3?	No	1.4¢	$0	-$83	Trade ↗
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	13.5¢	$0	-$270	Trade ↗
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?	No	24.8¢	$0	-$334	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	Yes	4.5¢	$0	-$155	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 27?	No	2.5¢	$0	-$256	Trade ↗
Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	0.2¢	$0	-$79	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
5d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	SELL	Yes	59.0¢	$15,340
12d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	SELL	Yes	68.0¢	$14,355