Trump2028

70Qualified whaleProven trader

0x2e0b70d482e6b389e81dea528be57d825dd48070· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

+$577,158

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

87%

435 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$577,317

Capital deployed

$21,389,538

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$775,276

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 25.5/30Return 2.3/25Consistency 23.1/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -0.8Total 70.1 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	62.6¢	$167,413	+$48,961	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	96.7¢	$144,212	+$4,268	Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	No	97.3¢	$88,971	+$878	Trade ↗
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	99.2¢	$40,419	+$183	Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	No	83.6¢	$29,120	+$986	Trade ↗
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	92.0¢	$28,828	+$1,187	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	No	98.9¢	$22,982	+$136	Trade ↗
Senate control favorite on November 2?	Democratic Party	98.4¢	$10,282	-$63	Trade ↗
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	86.0¢	$10,274	+$581	Trade ↗
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?	No	98.0¢	$7,111	+$90	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?	No	96.4¢	$6,567	+$177	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?	No	95.1¢	$6,402	+$60	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?	Yes	95.1¢	$6,376	+$37	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	No	98.2¢	$6,354	+$63	Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	No	91.7¢	$1,937	+$37	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	86.0¢	$47	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	87.6¢	$11	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?	No	89.0¢	$6	+$1	Trade ↗
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	95.0¢	$5	+$0	Trade ↗
Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?	Yes	12.2¢	$0	-$610	Trade ↗
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	2.9¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	0.9¢	$0	-$263	Trade ↗
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	0.9¢	$0	-$263	Trade ↗
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?	Yes	12.2¢	$0	-$491	Trade ↗
Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	2.9¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	0.9¢	$0	-$175	Trade ↗
Will Austria win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	2.6¢	$0	-$26	Trade ↗
Ethereum flipped in 2026?	No	51.0¢	$0	-$51	Trade ↗
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	0.9¢	$0	-$263	Trade ↗
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	0.9¢	$0	-$175	Trade ↗
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	2.9¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Trump veto a bill in 2025?	No	93.6¢	$0	-$1,126	Trade ↗
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	0.9¢	$0	-$263	Trade ↗
Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?	No	96.2¢	$0	-$3,334	Trade ↗
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	0.9¢	$0	-$263	Trade ↗
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	2.9¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	2.9¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	0.9¢	$0	-$263	Trade ↗
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	0.9¢	$0	-$263	Trade ↗
Will Matt Gaetz be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	4.5¢	$0	-$2,631	Trade ↗
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	0.9¢	$0	-$263	Trade ↗
Will France win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	2.6¢	$0	-$26	Trade ↗
Will China win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	2.6¢	$0	-$26	Trade ↗
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?	Yes	33.3¢	$0	-$13,266	Trade ↗
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	0.9¢	$0	-$263	Trade ↗
Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	2.6¢	$0	-$26	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	96.5¢	$0	-$5,818	Trade ↗
Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?	Yes	12.2¢	$0	-$462	Trade ↗
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	0.9¢	$0	-$263	Trade ↗
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	0.9¢	$0	-$263	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	24.9¢	$0	-$44,464	Trade ↗
Will Casey DeSantis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	4.5¢	$0	-$2,631	Trade ↗
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	2.9¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	93.2¢	$0	-$19	Trade ↗
Will Netherlands win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	2.6¢	$0	-$26	Trade ↗
Will Japan win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	2.6¢	$0	-$26	Trade ↗
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	0.9¢	$0	-$263	Trade ↗
Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?	Yes	12.2¢	$0	-$612	Trade ↗
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will Switzerland win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	2.6¢	$0	-$26	Trade ↗
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	0.9¢	$0	-$263	Trade ↗
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	0.9¢	$0	-$263	Trade ↗
Will Wilton Simpson be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	4.5¢	$0	-$2,290	Trade ↗
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	0.9¢	$0	-$263	Trade ↗
Will Sweden win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	2.6¢	$0	-$26	Trade ↗
Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 3% and 6%?	Yes	12.2¢	$0	-$536	Trade ↗
Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	2.9¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	0.9¢	$0	-$263	Trade ↗
Will Jimmy Patronis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	4.5¢	$0	-$2,631	Trade ↗
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	31.1¢	$0	-$3,456	Trade ↗
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 3% and 6%?	Yes	12.3¢	$0	-$460	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	24.9¢	$0	-$15,703	Trade ↗
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	0.9¢	$0	-$263	Trade ↗
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	0.9¢	$0	-$263	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
10d ago	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	BUY	No	99.2¢	$14,419
12d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	BUY	No	85.0¢	$15,732
14d ago	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	BUY	No	98.6¢	$14,416
16d ago	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	BUY	No	99.7¢	$20,332
27d ago	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	BUY	No	99.7¢	$17,457
36d ago	Iran leadership change by September 30?	BUY	No	98.8¢	$15,932
37d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	BUY	No	99.4¢	$26,587
37d ago	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	BUY	No	92.0¢	$12,846
38d ago	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	BUY	No	99.4¢	$10,468
53d ago	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	99.5¢	$40,342
53d ago	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	BUY	No	99.3¢	$18,851
54d ago	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	BUY	No	97.8¢	$12,666
54d ago	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	BUY	No	99.2¢	$15,700
55d ago	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	BUY	No	98.9¢	$24,418
55d ago	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August?	BUY	No	99.3¢	$12,284
55d ago	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	BUY	No	98.9¢	$32,287
55d ago	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	BUY	No	99.0¢	$45,821
57d ago	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31?	BUY	No	99.9¢	$10,921
66d ago	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	BUY	No	99.5¢	$109,283
66d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	BUY	No	86.8¢	$16,125
68d ago	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	BUY	No	83.5¢	$25,593
68d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	BUY	No	89.0¢	$22,248
68d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	BUY	No	96.5¢	$17,040
69d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	BUY	No	58.8¢	$38,455
69d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	BUY	No	60.6¢	$57,938