Trump2028

66Qualified whaleProven trader

0x2e0b70d482e6b389e81dea528be57d825dd48070· stats updated 22h ago

Realized PnL

+$418,443

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

84%

409 of 485 resolved

Resolved markets

485

Portfolio value

$553,995

Capital deployed

$20,204,690

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$627,086

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 22.9/30Return 1.7/25Consistency 21.5/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 66.1 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	60.1¢	$136,927	+$34,685	Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	No	98.8¢	$99,177	+$480	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	No	97.9¢	$67,159	+$1,147	Trade ↗
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	98.6¢	$62,549	+$493	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	90.2¢	$34,722	+$2,798	Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	No	83.6¢	$30,467	+$2,332	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	20.0¢	$21,691	+$13,582	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	87.3¢	$20,477	+$1,157	Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	No	97.5¢	$20,463	-$297	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	20.0¢	$18,448	+$10,339	Trade ↗
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	86.0¢	$9,863	+$169	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	99.4¢	$7,438	+$11	Trade ↗
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	95.0¢	$7,120	+$39	Trade ↗
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?	No	98.0¢	$7,036	+$14	Trade ↗
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?	No	94.2¢	$5,456	+$281	Trade ↗
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?	No	97.0¢	$3,001	+$29	Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	No	91.7¢	$1,937	+$37	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	86.0¢	$47	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	87.6¢	$11	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	No	89.0¢	$6	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	1.7¢	$0	-$500	Trade ↗
Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?	Yes	11.1¢	$0	-$554	Trade ↗
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	2.9¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	1.7¢	$0	-$500	Trade ↗
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	1.7¢	$0	-$500	Trade ↗
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?	Yes	11.1¢	$0	-$445	Trade ↗
Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	2.9¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	1.7¢	$0	-$333	Trade ↗
Will Austria win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	2.6¢	$0	-$26	Trade ↗
Ethereum flipped in 2026?	No	51.0¢	$0	-$51	Trade ↗
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	1.7¢	$0	-$500	Trade ↗
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	1.7¢	$0	-$333	Trade ↗
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	2.9¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Trump veto a bill in 2025?	No	93.6¢	$0	-$1,126	Trade ↗
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	1.7¢	$0	-$500	Trade ↗
Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?	No	96.2¢	$0	-$3,334	Trade ↗
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	1.7¢	$0	-$500	Trade ↗
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	2.9¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	2.9¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	1.7¢	$0	-$500	Trade ↗
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	1.7¢	$0	-$500	Trade ↗
Will Matt Gaetz be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	4.3¢	$0	-$2,553	Trade ↗
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	1.7¢	$0	-$500	Trade ↗
Will France win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	2.6¢	$0	-$26	Trade ↗
Will China win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	2.6¢	$0	-$26	Trade ↗
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?	Yes	25.0¢	$0	-$9,970	Trade ↗
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	1.7¢	$0	-$500	Trade ↗
Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	2.6¢	$0	-$26	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	96.5¢	$0	-$5,818	Trade ↗
Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?	Yes	11.1¢	$0	-$420	Trade ↗
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	1.7¢	$0	-$500	Trade ↗
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	1.7¢	$0	-$500	Trade ↗
Will Casey DeSantis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	4.3¢	$0	-$2,553	Trade ↗
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	2.9¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	93.2¢	$0	-$19	Trade ↗
Will Netherlands win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	2.6¢	$0	-$26	Trade ↗
Will Japan win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	2.6¢	$0	-$26	Trade ↗
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	1.7¢	$0	-$500	Trade ↗
Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?	Yes	11.1¢	$0	-$556	Trade ↗
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	1.7¢	$0	-$500	Trade ↗
Will Switzerland win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	2.6¢	$0	-$26	Trade ↗
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	1.7¢	$0	-$500	Trade ↗
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	1.7¢	$0	-$500	Trade ↗
Will Wilton Simpson be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	4.3¢	$0	-$2,221	Trade ↗
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	1.7¢	$0	-$500	Trade ↗
Will Sweden win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	2.6¢	$0	-$26	Trade ↗
Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 3% and 6%?	Yes	11.1¢	$0	-$487	Trade ↗
Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	2.9¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	1.7¢	$0	-$500	Trade ↗
Will Jimmy Patronis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	4.3¢	$0	-$2,553	Trade ↗
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	25.0¢	$0	-$2,775	Trade ↗
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 3% and 6%?	Yes	11.1¢	$0	-$417	Trade ↗
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	1.7¢	$0	-$500	Trade ↗
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	1.7¢	$0	-$500	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
8d ago	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	99.5¢	$40,342
8d ago	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	BUY	No	99.3¢	$18,851
8d ago	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	BUY	No	97.8¢	$12,666
8d ago	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	BUY	No	99.2¢	$15,700
9d ago	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	BUY	No	98.9¢	$24,418
9d ago	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August?	BUY	No	99.3¢	$12,284
10d ago	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	BUY	No	98.9¢	$32,287
10d ago	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	BUY	No	99.0¢	$45,821
11d ago	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31?	BUY	No	99.9¢	$10,921
20d ago	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	BUY	No	99.5¢	$109,283
20d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	BUY	No	86.8¢	$16,125
23d ago	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	BUY	No	83.5¢	$25,593
23d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	BUY	No	89.0¢	$22,248
23d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	BUY	No	96.5¢	$17,040
23d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	BUY	No	58.8¢	$38,455
23d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	BUY	No	60.6¢	$57,938
24d ago	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	BUY	No	98.8¢	$34,022
27d ago	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	BUY	No	98.3¢	$15,023
27d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	BUY	No	97.6¢	$78,071