George.Smiley

58Qualified whaleProven trader

0x2110ba2a1e18840109482ff4ddc547baeff45850· stats updated 3d ago

Realized PnL

+$85,473

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

89%

218 of 245 resolved

Resolved markets

245

Portfolio value

$51,459

Capital deployed

$1,398,357

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$10,419

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 10.0/30Return 5.1/25Consistency 24.4/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -1.4Total 58.0 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?	Yes	28.2¢	$16,585	+$11,723	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	No	23.0¢	$14,458	+$11,001	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	93.0¢	$9,150	-$150	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	63.0¢	$6,650	+$350	Trade ↗
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	35.6¢	$1,574	+$996	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026?	No	46.5¢	$988	+$523	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	38.0¢	$884	+$386	Trade ↗
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?	No	53.0¢	$572	+$241	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	16.6¢	$282	-$216	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	30.9¢	$262	-$232	Trade ↗
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	36.5¢	$50	-$23	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026?	Yes	14.8¢	$4	-$36	Trade ↗
Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	56.3¢	$0	-$244	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Flash model be released on September 3, 2026?	Yes	10.1¢	$0	-$120	Trade ↗
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	61.0¢	$0	-$2,928	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 4, 2026?	Yes	1.0¢	$0	-$25	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 11, 2026?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$13	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 12, 2026?	Yes	1.0¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Keir Starmer say "Rules-based" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?	Yes	11.0¢	$0	-$11	Trade ↗
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	5.5¢	$0	-$60	Trade ↗
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	13.0¢	$0	-$33	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 26, 2026?	Yes	6.3¢	$0	-$94	Trade ↗
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	Yes	8.0¢	$0	-$48	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 30, 2026?	Yes	7.0¢	$0	-$13	Trade ↗
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?	Yes	91.0¢	$0	-$3,131	Trade ↗
Will Keir Starmer say "McSweeney" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?	No	25.0¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by less than 3%?	Yes	9.0¢	$0	-$45	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 6, 2026?	Yes	1.0¢	$0	-$17	Trade ↗
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	74.4¢	$0	-$372	Trade ↗
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	65.0¢	$0	-$715	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 14, 2026?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$40	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 12?	Yes	9.7¢	$0	-$121	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 24, 2026?	Yes	66.5¢	$0	-$133	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 13, 2026?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$30	Trade ↗
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?	Yes	80.0¢	$0	-$80	Trade ↗
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	No	24.0¢	$0	-$60	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 16, 2026?	Yes	1.1¢	$0	-$23	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 13, 2026?	Yes	2.2¢	$0	-$12	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 24, 2026?	Yes	5.5¢	$0	-$31	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 23, 2026?	Yes	14.5¢	$0	-$101	Trade ↗
Will MrBeast say "Cash" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	46.0¢	$0	-$46	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 15, 2026?	Yes	1.1¢	$0	-$9	Trade ↗
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?	Yes	54.0¢	$0	-$108	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 29, 2026?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$40	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026?	Yes	50.0¢	$0	-$500	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?	Yes	5.5¢	$0	-$28	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 21, 2026?	Yes	1.4¢	$0	-$8	Trade ↗
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?	Yes	56.1¢	$0	-$534	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	79.9¢	$0	-$4,393	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?	Yes	34.7¢	$0	-$972	Trade ↗
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?	Yes	70.0¢	$0	-$175	Trade ↗
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	30.0¢	$0	-$150	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 27, 2026?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$40	Trade ↗
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	Yes	13.3¢	$0	-$166	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 6, 2026?	Yes	1.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 18, 2026?	Yes	8.3¢	$0	-$75	Trade ↗
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?	Yes	69.0¢	$0	-$69	Trade ↗
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?	Yes	53.0¢	$0	-$53	Trade ↗
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?	No	31.5¢	$0	-$32	Trade ↗
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	9.0¢	$0	-$344	Trade ↗
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	22.7¢	$0	-$2,311	Trade ↗
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 3% and 6%?	Yes	12.0¢	$0	-$60	Trade ↗
Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?	Yes	13.2¢	$0	-$176	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 25, 2026?	Yes	0.2¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 25, 2026?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Starmer say "Iran" 3+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	78.0¢	$0	-$78	Trade ↗
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?	No	26.0¢	$0	-$520	Trade ↗
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	59.0¢	$0	-$590	Trade ↗
Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	4.3¢	$0	-$43	Trade ↗
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?	Yes	67.0¢	$0	-$335	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?	Yes	45.6¢	$0	-$2,457	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 9, 2026?	Yes	7.0¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 17, 2026?	Yes	60.1¢	$0	-$1,203	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	86.1¢	$0	-$1,292	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 11, 2026?	Yes	7.2¢	$0	-$48	Trade ↗
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	50.0¢	$0	-$1,250	Trade ↗
Will MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 10+ times during his next YouTube video?	Yes	46.0¢	$0	-$46	Trade ↗
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?	Yes	7.0¢	$0	-$70	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 23, 2026?	Yes	0.4¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?	Yes	31.7¢	$0	-$2,001	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	2.5¢	$0	-$25	Trade ↗
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?	No	70.1¢	$0	-$351	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?	Yes	3.5¢	$0	-$18	Trade ↗
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $330 end of January?	No	46.0¢	$0	-$230	Trade ↗
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	13.9¢	$0	-$71	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
31d ago	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?	BUY	No	93.0¢	$10,419