20YrsOfBoredom

67Qualified whaleProven trader

0x1ecc91dbd13963efbaa305262a23164c68eb53a9· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

+$64,187

closed + open positions

Return on capital

19%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$12,437

Capital deployed

$334,274

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$14,842

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 7.7/30Return 16.0/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -2.1Total 66.6 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	75.4¢	$4,389	-$7	Trade ↗
Will Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	79.6¢	$933	+$103	Trade ↗
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	84.0¢	$588	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Jaafar Jackson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	83.1¢	$471	+$8	Trade ↗
Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	81.0¢	$356	+$21	Trade ↗
Will Sebastian Stan be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	75.3¢	$303	+$25	Trade ↗
Will "Ink" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	83.0¢	$298	+$7	Trade ↗
Will Mariana di Girolamo be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	69.7¢	$274	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Parker Posey be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	79.0¢	$270	+$5	Trade ↗
Will "The Invite" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	85.4¢	$259	+$23	Trade ↗
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	89.0¢	$239	+$11	Trade ↗
Will Penélope Cruz be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	73.0¢	$228	+$9	Trade ↗
Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	81.0¢	$226	+$24	Trade ↗
Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	14.3¢	$203	+$42	Trade ↗
Will Rosalind Eleazar be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	84.5¢	$203	+$7	Trade ↗
Will Sandra Hüller be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	60.0¢	$192	+$12	Trade ↗
Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	57.0¢	$187	+$49	Trade ↗
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	67.0¢	$184	+$19	Trade ↗
Will "Toy Story 5" be nominated for Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	85.0¢	$172	-$1	Trade ↗
Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	69.0¢	$171	+$12	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	84.0¢	$167	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Samantha Morton be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	71.0¢	$164	+$22	Trade ↗
Will "The Invite" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	31.3¢	$151	+$38	Trade ↗
Will Andrew Garfield win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	25.1¢	$150	+$24	Trade ↗
Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	77.3¢	$147	+$6	Trade ↗
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	90.0¢	$140	-$20	Trade ↗
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	4.8¢	$117	+$30	Trade ↗
Will Anne Hathaway be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	89.0¢	$107	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Pat Murphy win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?	Yes	69.2¢	$94	+$6	Trade ↗
Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	38.0¢	$88	+$12	Trade ↗
Will The Odyssey win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	74.5¢	$84	+$4	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	71.0¢	$82	-$7	Trade ↗
Will The Black Ball win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	67.0¢	$76	+$12	Trade ↗
Will Olivia Wilde be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	67.9¢	$73	+$1	Trade ↗
Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	73.0¢	$73	-$1	Trade ↗
Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	79.0¢	$64	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	16.6¢	$59	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	83.3¢	$59	+$2	Trade ↗
Will "Fjord" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	55.1¢	$59	+$9	Trade ↗
Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	57.0¢	$40	-$18	Trade ↗
Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	27.0¢	$38	-$5	Trade ↗
Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	17.8¢	$33	-$57	Trade ↗
Will "Tangles" be nominated for Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	32.0¢	$32	$0	Trade ↗
Will Robert Aramayo be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	91.9¢	$24	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	57.0¢	$23	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	38.0¢	$21	+$2	Trade ↗
Will The Invite win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	0.7¢	$16	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Sam Rockwell win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	8.4¢	$15	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	30.0¢	$15	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Guitarricadelafuente win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	3.4¢	$15	+$10	Trade ↗
Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards?	No	47.0¢	$11	+$5	Trade ↗
Will Lost Weekend (Phoebe Bridgers) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	4.4¢	$10	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Tangles win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	11.8¢	$7	-$27	Trade ↗
Will Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	54.0¢	$6	-$1	Trade ↗
Will John Leguizamo win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	1.0¢	$6	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Slayyyter win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	2.2¢	$4	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Brad Pitt win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	0.3¢	$4	-$1	Trade ↗
Will The Social Reckoning win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	0.3¢	$3	+$1	Trade ↗
Will All of a Sudden win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	0.2¢	$2	-$2	Trade ↗
Will The Great Divide (Noah Kahan) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	0.9¢	$2	+$1	Trade ↗
Will The Debut win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	0.9¢	$2	-$4	Trade ↗
Will petal (Ariana Grande) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	0.9¢	$2	-$0	Trade ↗
Will All of a Sudden win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	0.8¢	$1	-$1	Trade ↗
Will The Adventures of Cliff Booth win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	0.2¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Jeremy Strong win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	0.7¢	$1	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Adéla win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	1.0¢	$1	+$1	Trade ↗
Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards?	Yes	55.5¢	$1	-$7	Trade ↗
Will The Life of a Showgirl (Taylor Swift) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	1.1¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Edward Norton win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	6.3¢	$1	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Guy Pearce win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	11.0¢	$1	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Ray Gunn win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	8.2¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Tao Okamoto win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	8.0¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Will The Romantic (Bruno Mars) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	4.9¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?	No	34.0¢	$0	-$35	Trade ↗
Will Washington Mystics win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	1.8¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will New York Liberty win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	15.7¢	$0	-$25	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
34d ago	Iran leadership change by December 31?	SELL	No	85.0¢	$14,842