peasant

52Qualified whaleProven trader

0x1c72797cd4b9b83f42e287144e334c4de347dfb6· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

+$458,399

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

58%

194 of 337 resolved

Resolved markets

337

Portfolio value

$107,930

Capital deployed

$8,180,670

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$58,440

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 23.7/30Return 4.7/25Consistency 4.7/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -1.4Total 51.7 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	63.0¢	$34,257	+$2,284	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	62.0¢	$20,208	+$1,368	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	61.3¢	$17,019	+$1,210	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	70.0¢	$10,800	+$300	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	68.0¢	$10,800	-$80	Trade ↗
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	45.8¢	$5,683	+$49	Trade ↗
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	25.0¢	$4,172	-$911	Trade ↗
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	1.6¢	$2,168	-$2,153	Trade ↗
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	62.0¢	$1,785	-$75	Trade ↗
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	1.5¢	$1,037	-$444	Trade ↗
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	14.6¢	$3	-$289	Trade ↗
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?	No	77.7¢	$0	-$6,368	Trade ↗
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?	No	48.5¢	$0	-$169,515	Trade ↗
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	No	70.0¢	$0	-$1,400	Trade ↗
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	38.0¢	$0	-$32	Trade ↗
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?	Yes	18.1¢	$0	-$181	Trade ↗
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?	No	56.5¢	$0	-$76,382	Trade ↗
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	65.8¢	$0	-$28,404	Trade ↗
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?	No	61.0¢	$0	-$305	Trade ↗
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?	No	54.7¢	$0	-$82,790	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
3d ago	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	BUY	Yes	68.0¢	$10,880
8d ago	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	BUY	Yes	63.0¢	$31,973
8d ago	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	BUY	No	62.0¢	$15,587