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70Qualified whaleProven trader

0x1c144e30f405a25f991cbd8baa15d40599090869· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

+$311,139

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$229,628

Capital deployed

$4,104,772

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$24,676

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

226

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 20.5/30Return 6.3/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -1.5Total 70.3 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	32.3¢	$74,784	+$27,742	Trade ↗
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.9¢	$14,914	+$9,503	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	51.1¢	$9,062	+$2,441	Trade ↗
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	4.0¢	$8,430	+$1,752	Trade ↗
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	45.1¢	$7,567	+$947	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	59.3¢	$6,650	+$725	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	28.7¢	$5,541	+$1,358	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	35.5¢	$5,343	+$882	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	No	47.2¢	$5,276	+$1,695	Trade ↗
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$4,739	+$2,281	Trade ↗
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.6¢	$4,095	+$2,914	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?	No	93.0¢	$3,703	+$223	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	62.0¢	$3,325	+$225	Trade ↗
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	56.9¢	$3,118	+$282	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	29.0¢	$2,762	+$682	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-12 House seat?	Yes	91.0¢	$2,705	+$163	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the MS-02 House seat?	Yes	94.0¢	$2,499	+$79	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?	Yes	24.6¢	$2,287	+$634	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?	Yes	66.6¢	$2,005	+$513	Trade ↗
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	9.3¢	$1,888	+$888	Trade ↗
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	43.8¢	$1,843	+$415	Trade ↗
Will Florida use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	93.0¢	$1,826	+$102	Trade ↗
Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	89.7¢	$1,817	+$150	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the MS-02 House seat?	No	94.0¢	$1,807	+$61	Trade ↗
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	27.4¢	$1,598	-$346	Trade ↗
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	27.4¢	$1,588	-$531	Trade ↗
Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET?	No	94.7¢	$1,537	+$49	Trade ↗
Will Texas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	94.2¢	$1,498	+$46	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	No	23.4¢	$1,445	+$121	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the CA-02 House seat?	No	95.0¢	$1,379	+$67	Trade ↗
Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2028?	Yes	76.7¢	$1,337	+$94	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	No	82.9¢	$1,251	+$73	Trade ↗
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.6¢	$1,248	-$854	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	93.0¢	$1,207	-$76	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?	Yes	88.3¢	$1,111	+$82	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	Yes	24.5¢	$1,066	+$43	Trade ↗
Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	No	76.4¢	$1,065	-$515	Trade ↗
Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	92.9¢	$1,033	+$62	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the HI-01 House seat?	No	96.0¢	$974	+$13	Trade ↗
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?	No	85.0¢	$970	+$115	Trade ↗
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	85.0¢	$904	+$55	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	88.0¢	$864	-$20	Trade ↗
Will Democrats win young men in the midterms?	Yes	75.8¢	$854	+$92	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	8.2¢	$835	+$242	Trade ↗
Will Bernie Sanders announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	93.1¢	$788	+$36	Trade ↗
Will the Georgia 2026 Senate race be within 1%?	No	92.8¢	$784	+$5	Trade ↗
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2028?	Yes	66.9¢	$728	-$183	Trade ↗
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	62.4¢	$688	+$229	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	Yes	95.6¢	$685	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Ohio use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	90.6¢	$679	+$39	Trade ↗
Will Lauren Boebert drop out of the CO-04 race?	No	92.2¢	$671	+$25	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?	Yes	22.2¢	$636	-$358	Trade ↗
Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2028?	Yes	76.9¢	$607	+$77	Trade ↗
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2028?	Yes	76.3¢	$576	+$7	Trade ↗
Will Democrats sweep the Michigan Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	66.8¢	$569	+$10	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?	No	96.0¢	$533	+$6	Trade ↗
Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	72.5¢	$530	+$110	Trade ↗
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?	Yes	37.0¢	$510	-$141	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	10.5¢	$507	+$219	Trade ↗
Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 1%?	No	84.3¢	$504	-$20	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?	Yes	96.0¢	$488	+$7	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	9.3¢	$488	+$92	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?	No	70.7¢	$464	+$97	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?	Yes	25.5¢	$459	+$63	Trade ↗
Amelia Earhart’s plane found by December 31, 2026?	No	90.1¢	$448	+$32	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?	Yes	92.5¢	$445	+$29	Trade ↗
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	70.0¢	$430	+$80	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	91.0¢	$397	+$22	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Illinois governor race in 2026?	Yes	93.0¢	$392	+$15	Trade ↗
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	93.3¢	$389	+$13	Trade ↗
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.2¢	$380	+$135	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?	Yes	95.0¢	$372	+$12	Trade ↗
Will Georgia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	95.8¢	$355	+$5	Trade ↗
Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	65.1¢	$355	+$29	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026?	Yes	93.2¢	$349	+$13	Trade ↗
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Yes	33.7¢	$347	+$142	Trade ↗
Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?	No	0.0¢	$343	+$343	Trade ↗
Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 1%?	No	90.5¢	$342	+$14	Trade ↗
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	Yes	7.6¢	$335	-$365	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-49 House seat?	Yes	95.0¢	$333	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	10.3¢	$319	-$136	Trade ↗
Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	61.1¢	$292	-$32	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?	No	7.0¢	$289	-$99	Trade ↗
Will the North Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 1%?	No	94.6¢	$270	+$5	Trade ↗
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?	Yes	9.2¢	$269	-$16	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	No	5.9¢	$264	-$181	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	92.0¢	$249	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Michigan 2026 Senate race be within 1%?	No	78.6¢	$242	+$2	Trade ↗
Blue wave in 2026?	Yes	76.0¢	$231	+$22	Trade ↗
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.5¢	$210	+$157	Trade ↗
Will the New Hampshire 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	No	57.0¢	$188	+$26	Trade ↗
Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?	No	87.0¢	$185	+$13	Trade ↗
Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026?	Yes	11.0¢	$183	-$54	Trade ↗
Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?	No	97.2¢	$174	+$2	Trade ↗
Closer Senate Race: Michigan or New Hampshire?	Michigan	72.0¢	$170	+$8	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	26.0¢	$168	+$38	Trade ↗
First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Governor Election?	No	11.8¢	$164	+$97	Trade ↗
Will AP call US House control by November 4, 3:59 AM?	Yes	82.3¢	$149	-$2	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Connecticut governor race in 2026?	Yes	93.0¢	$144	+$6	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	37.0¢	$141	+$78	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
3d ago	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	BUY	Yes	44.8¢	$11,196
33d ago	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	BUY	Yes	69.0¢	$13,480