noib

25Qualified whaleProven trader

0x187fbd3114592d6a5420c937ca14e9cf64f55fee· stats updated 18h ago

Realized PnL

+$25,425

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

56%

141 of 254 resolved

Resolved markets

254

Portfolio value

$59,773

Capital deployed

$1,968,792

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$35,634

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.1/30Return 1.1/25Consistency 3.4/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 24.7 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	79.2¢	$14,036	+$564	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	No	62.5¢	$7,089	-$483	Trade ↗
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	75.5¢	$5,775	+$183	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	52.1¢	$4,472	+$120	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	88.0¢	$4,272	+$72	Trade ↗
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	No	86.3¢	$3,710	+$115	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	41.8¢	$2,673	-$227	Trade ↗
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	No	88.4¢	$2,463	+$121	Trade ↗
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	No	67.0¢	$1,780	+$76	Trade ↗
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	No	87.1¢	$1,620	+$103	Trade ↗
Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?	No	37.1¢	$1,191	+$251	Trade ↗
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?	Yes	60.3¢	$927	-$3,216	Trade ↗
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?	No	90.2¢	$886	+$35	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Yes	22.0¢	$705	+$45	Trade ↗
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	35.9¢	$684	+$20	Trade ↗
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	33.0¢	$662	-$105	Trade ↗
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	36.0¢	$646	+$34	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	No	73.1¢	$616	+$104	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	34.4¢	$598	+$27	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	47.3¢	$531	-$113	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	Yes	4.8¢	$461	+$167	Trade ↗
Will Tito-Dante Marimpietri win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election?	No	36.5¢	$457	-$20	Trade ↗
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	88.2¢	$365	+$13	Trade ↗
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	Yes	7.1¢	$330	+$16	Trade ↗
Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by October 31?	No	93.6¢	$308	-$41	Trade ↗
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	No	47.8¢	$277	+$65	Trade ↗
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?	Yes	7.6¢	$232	-$287	Trade ↗
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?	Yes	9.4¢	$226	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?	Yes	67.9¢	$195	+$46	Trade ↗
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	49.1¢	$171	+$8	Trade ↗
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	Yes	6.8¢	$167	-$33	Trade ↗
Ilhan Omar arrested by October 31, 2026?	No	86.0¢	$161	+$19	Trade ↗
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?	No	67.3¢	$147	+$8	Trade ↗
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	11.9¢	$142	-$358	Trade ↗
Will courts block Mamdani's grocery stores by October 31?	No	64.0¢	$132	+$40	Trade ↗
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	No	35.6¢	$127	-$165	Trade ↗
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	5.9¢	$111	+$34	Trade ↗
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?	No	86.8¢	$95	+$9	Trade ↗
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	Yes	36.0¢	$83	+$28	Trade ↗
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026?	Yes	27.7¢	$51	-$691	Trade ↗
Will Steven Del Duca win the 2026 Vaughan mayoral election?	Yes	85.7¢	$47	+$6	Trade ↗
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	No	60.1¢	$41	+$10	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	80.0¢	$24	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Joint List win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	14.1¢	$21	+$7	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	No	89.0¢	$18	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Elizabeth Pipko be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	3.5¢	$16	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Kari Lake be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	0.9¢	$11	+$7	Trade ↗
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	13.7¢	$10	-$252	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	15.6¢	$4	-$209	Trade ↗
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	1.7¢	$2	-$39	Trade ↗
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	No	71.0¢	$2	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Switzerland by December 31, 2026?	Yes	5.1¢	$2	+$0	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	No	32.0¢	$2	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	2.1¢	$1	+$1	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
17d ago	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	BUY	Yes	84.0¢	$10,000
19d ago	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	BUY	No	95.2¢	$15,000
33d ago	Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?	SELL	Yes	99.9¢	$10,634