probability1

24Proven trader

0x1878b9bf883eaf8d757554cda0b4f13b2514d998· stats updated 8d ago

Realized PnL

+$17,707

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

93%

63 of 68 resolved

Resolved markets

Portfolio value

$24

Capital deployed

$899,569

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$36,487

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.0/30Return 1.6/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 12.8/20Concentration -15.0Total 24.4 / 100

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	66.8¢	$24	-$187	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 29?	Yes	4.5¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase August 25-31?	No	7.7¢	$0	-$35	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	98.1¢	$0	-$21,581	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 29?	No	10.6¢	$0	-$25	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?	Yes	38.0¢	$0	-$152	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?	Yes	3.6¢	$0	-$224	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?	No	1.5¢	$0	-$8	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	12.8¢	$0	-$60	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 30?	No	35.9¢	$0	-$1,025	Trade ↗
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	0.9¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 31?	Yes	10.0¢	$0	-$17	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	5.0¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 30?	Yes	34.9¢	$0	-$164	Trade ↗

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
45d ago	LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?	BUY	Yes	99.8¢	$22,356
46d ago	LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?	BUY	Yes	98.9¢	$14,131