PolBandit

47Qualified whaleProven trader

0x15fdd6a159788bd7d382f5669a047ad0fcb2cc95· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$77,128

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

93%

70 of 75 resolved

Resolved markets

Portfolio value

$135,211

Capital deployed

$2,010,063

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$83,050

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 9.2/30Return 3.2/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 13.4/20Concentration -3.4Total 47.4 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	92.0¢	$56,942	+$4,529	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	85.0¢	$56,336	+$950	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	77.5¢	$8,032	+$1,677	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	80.4¢	$7,551	+$196	Trade ↗
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	54.1¢	$3,431	-$1,847	Trade ↗
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	73.0¢	$2,235	+$45	Trade ↗
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	3.4¢	$634	-$57	Trade ↗
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	52.2¢	$38	+$7	Trade ↗
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	61.7¢	$7	-$8,274	Trade ↗
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1.3¢	$6	-$46	Trade ↗
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	Yes	4.9¢	$0	-$107	Trade ↗
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?	Yes	13.1¢	$0	-$836	Trade ↗
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	95.2¢	$0	-$15,563	Trade ↗
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	96.1¢	$0	-$32,973	Trade ↗
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	96.0¢	$0	-$571	Trade ↗
Will Iran strike Oman again in March?	Yes	81.8¢	$0	-$12,973	Trade ↗
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	79.0¢	$0	-$5,858	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
13d ago	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	BUY	Yes	89.0¢	$12,134
13d ago	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	BUY	No	98.5¢	$18,504
32d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	BUY	No	92.0¢	$52,413