WhaleWatcherNeH
160x11fcbba836d927c5fe6e6a6a64c9c0461e33dc48· stats updated 20h ago
Realized PnL
-$109,601
closed + open positions
Return on capital
-2%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
50%
79 of 158 resolved
Resolved markets
158
Portfolio value
$318,973
Capital deployed
$5,768,766
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$83,214
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
8
Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)
PnL 0.0/30Return 0.0/25Consistency 0.0/25Sample size 18.4/20Concentration -2.0Total 16.4 / 100
Current positions
| Market | Outcome | Avg price | Value | Unrealized PnL | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 88.5¢ | $111,193 | +$7,059 | Trade ↗ |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 89.1¢ | $48,238 | +$216 | Trade ↗ |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | No | 87.5¢ | $46,750 | +$3,012 | Trade ↗ |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 70.3¢ | $45,846 | +$9,843 | Trade ↗ |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 88.0¢ | $28,736 | +$1,977 | Trade ↗ |
| NATO article 5 before 2027? | No | 88.9¢ | $22,082 | +$912 | Trade ↗ |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 80.0¢ | $15,001 | -$474 | Trade ↗ |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | No | 70.5¢ | $1,127 | +$15 | Trade ↗ |
Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)
| Time | Market | Side | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d ago | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | No | 89.0¢ | $12,072 |
| 7d ago | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | No | 94.0¢ | $12,438 |
| 16d ago | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | No | 89.0¢ | $31,150 |
| 16d ago | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | No | 74.2¢ | $27,555 |