NeH
160x11fcbba836d927c5fe6e6a6a64c9c0461e33dc48· stats updated 2d ago
Realized PnL
-$72,485
closed + open positions
Return on capital
-1%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
50%
80 of 159 resolved
Resolved markets
159
Portfolio value
$325,329
Capital deployed
$5,914,947
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$83,214
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
9
Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)
PnL 0.0/30Return 0.0/25Consistency 0.2/25Sample size 18.5/20Concentration -2.4Total 16.3 / 100
Current positions
| Market | Outcome | Avg price | Value | Unrealized PnL | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 88.8¢ | $119,481 | +$2,205 | Trade ↗ |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 88.5¢ | $59,124 | +$5,125 | Trade ↗ |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | No | 87.5¢ | $47,500 | +$3,762 | Trade ↗ |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 70.3¢ | $46,102 | +$10,099 | Trade ↗ |
| NATO article 5 before 2027? | No | 88.9¢ | $22,630 | +$1,460 | Trade ↗ |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 92.3¢ | $14,384 | +$25 | Trade ↗ |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 80.0¢ | $11,226 | -$4,249 | Trade ↗ |
| Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | Yes | 2.0¢ | $3,470 | +$2,513 | Trade ↗ |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | No | 70.5¢ | $1,411 | +$299 | Trade ↗ |
Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)
| Time | Market | Side | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53d ago | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | No | 89.0¢ | $12,072 |
| 53d ago | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | No | 94.0¢ | $12,438 |
| 61d ago | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | No | 89.0¢ | $31,150 |
| 61d ago | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | No | 74.2¢ | $27,555 |
WhaleWatcher