redpanda135

0x0e3412b36668dcb987582e6c96f7e15fea71f1a7· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

-$1,595

closed + open positions

Return on capital

-1%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

95%

76 of 80 resolved

Resolved markets

Portfolio value

$36,010

Capital deployed

$118,279

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$10,240

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.0/30Return 0.0/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 13.9/20Concentration 0.0Total 38.9 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	No	97.3¢	$8,064	+$140	Trade ↗
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	98.3¢	$4,670	+$42	Trade ↗
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	93.0¢	$4,625	-$25	Trade ↗
US recession by end of 2026?	No	89.3¢	$3,031	+$134	Trade ↗
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	94.6¢	$2,631	-$66	Trade ↗
Will Neutrl launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	93.5¢	$1,671	+$55	Trade ↗
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	No	93.3¢	$1,209	+$7	Trade ↗
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	95.7¢	$987	+$30	Trade ↗
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?	No	94.0¢	$825	-$4	Trade ↗
Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	95.3¢	$824	+$13	Trade ↗
Ethos FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	76.9¢	$787	-$15	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?	No	97.3¢	$707	+$15	Trade ↗
Will Abstract launch a token by September 30, 2026	No	97.2¢	$702	+$9	Trade ↗
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026?	No	91.3¢	$656	+$40	Trade ↗
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 18,000 in 2026?	No	95.5¢	$637	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Variational launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	98.0¢	$607	-$50	Trade ↗
Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	87.7¢	$560	+$29	Trade ↗
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?	No	94.7¢	$481	+$13	Trade ↗
Will Hyperliquid introduce KYC by September 30, 2026?	No	94.0¢	$455	+$23	Trade ↗
Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	98.9¢	$405	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?	No	91.8¢	$320	+$1	Trade ↗
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?	No	96.4¢	$297	-$4	Trade ↗
Will GTE launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	97.3¢	$270	+$4	Trade ↗
Will GTE launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	88.4¢	$192	+$10	Trade ↗
Will RISE launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	96.8¢	$142	+$2	Trade ↗
StripChain FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	95.9¢	$124	+$3	Trade ↗
Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026?	No	86.1¢	$86	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	93.0¢	$25	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Dreamcash launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	98.3¢	$19	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	26.2¢	$0	-$140	Trade ↗
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	40.9¢	$0	-$818	Trade ↗
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $10B by August 31?	No	98.0¢	$0	-$7	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	25.1¢	$0	-$151	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	Yes	1.5¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
20d ago	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	BUY	No	91.2¢	$10,240