ourdemocracy

81Qualified whaleProven trader

0x08c95f70b0565ee01fbb30705b61aa641616a2ef· stats updated 3d ago

Realized PnL

+$327,836

closed + open positions

Return on capital

19%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

93%

463 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$35,215

Capital deployed

$1,760,261

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$10,371

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 20.9/30Return 15.5/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 81.5 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	88.3¢	$7,922	+$18	Trade ↗
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	No	91.4¢	$2,805	+$18	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?	No	97.1¢	$2,690	+$51	Trade ↗
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	94.1¢	$1,840	-$41	Trade ↗
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	No	75.5¢	$1,741	+$255	Trade ↗
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?	No	96.0¢	$1,610	+$47	Trade ↗
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in December?	No	90.7¢	$1,534	+$46	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?	No	90.8¢	$1,483	+$60	Trade ↗
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?	No	94.7¢	$1,460	+$40	Trade ↗
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	No	79.9¢	$1,257	+$54	Trade ↗
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	79.1¢	$1,151	-$39	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	No	98.2¢	$996	+$14	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?	No	98.7¢	$972	-$15	Trade ↗
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	No	83.7¢	$912	-$8	Trade ↗
Will a 8.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?	No	93.8¢	$636	+$11	Trade ↗
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $200 in October?	No	96.7¢	$632	+$3	Trade ↗
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	No	86.5¢	$504	+$24	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	93.0¢	$491	+$26	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	No	90.5¢	$466	+$5	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?	No	74.5¢	$364	+$61	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	No	97.5¢	$294	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Solana dip to $80 in October?	No	97.3¢	$292	-$0	Trade ↗
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?	No	93.3¢	$282	-$18	Trade ↗
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?	No	90.0¢	$272	+$2	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	83.0¢	$251	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	96.6¢	$212	-$67	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	No	95.9¢	$199	+$7	Trade ↗
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?	No	87.6¢	$188	+$18	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	44.0¢	$185	+$97	Trade ↗
Will Trump visit Greenland by October 31?	No	97.6¢	$181	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	89.0¢	$144	+$10	Trade ↗
Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026?	No	68.0¢	$142	+$29	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.2T by October 31?	No	96.4¢	$126	+$0	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	97.0¢	$113	-$4	Trade ↗
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.60% in October?	No	94.7¢	$98	+$3	Trade ↗
US congress stock trading ban before 2027?	No	94.0¢	$98	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?	No	95.0¢	$96	+$1	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	35.0¢	$91	-$45	Trade ↗
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in October?	No	97.5¢	$80	+$2	Trade ↗
Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026?	No	87.4¢	$70	-$5	Trade ↗
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	56.0¢	$62	+$6	Trade ↗
RFK Jr. Out by October 31?	No	97.9¢	$56	-$1	Trade ↗
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	Yes	13.0¢	$52	-$19	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.6T by October 31?	No	96.1¢	$49	+$1	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $900B by October 31?	No	96.0¢	$49	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?	No	91.5¢	$38	+$3	Trade ↗
JD Vance Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?	Yes	98.0¢	$29	-$0	Trade ↗
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?	No	92.3¢	$4	+$0	Trade ↗
Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026?	No	92.9¢	$2	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September?	No	98.1¢	$0	-$57	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	22.0¢	$0	-$125	Trade ↗
Will MrBeast hit 465 Million subscribers by January 31?	No	34.0¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of January?	Yes	5.9¢	$0	-$9	Trade ↗
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in May?	No	98.0¢	$0	-$98	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on May 4?	Yes	3.5¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?	No	86.3¢	$0	-$69	Trade ↗
Will MrBeast hit 124 billion views by May 31?	No	96.7¢	$0	-$37	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?	No	97.2¢	$0	-$95	Trade ↗
Will Google reach $375 in April?	No	98.0¢	$0	-$20	Trade ↗
Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in August?	No	97.5¢	$0	-$98	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by August 31, 2026?	No	62.7¢	$0	-$17	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	94.4¢	$0	-$94	Trade ↗
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	No	71.9¢	$0	-$218	Trade ↗
Will Amazon reach $260 in April?	No	97.9¢	$0	-$65	Trade ↗
Will MrBeast hit 124.5 billion views by May 31?	No	97.0¢	$0	-$12	Trade ↗
Will Google reach $355 in April?	No	93.8¢	$0	-$132	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in September?	Yes	0.3¢	$0	-$50	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	0.1¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Solana above $200 on August 15?	Yes	55.2¢	$0	-$110	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
44d ago	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September?	BUY	No	91.0¢	$10,371