Hyperlong

67Qualified whaleProven trader

0x014c4e7ae2145992861c2d1b124af633a97f820c· stats updated 4d ago

Realized PnL

+$284,255

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

89%

444 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$503,004

Capital deployed

$7,340,694

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$27,703

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

409

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 19.8/30Return 3.2/25Consistency 24.3/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -0.3Total 66.9 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	50.0¢	$134,463	+$56,963	Trade ↗
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	89.5¢	$42,424	+$3,075	Trade ↗
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50.0¢	$20,538	-$56,963	Trade ↗
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	29.8¢	$19,224	+$10,331	Trade ↗
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	91.8¢	$11,037	+$514	Trade ↗
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	82.0¢	$10,701	-$20,099	Trade ↗
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	79.1¢	$10,571	+$1,378	Trade ↗
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	76.0¢	$9,498	-$740	Trade ↗
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	90.3¢	$8,033	-$1,145	Trade ↗
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	65.9¢	$7,845	+$576	Trade ↗
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	95.5¢	$7,460	+$89	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	41.0¢	$6,942	+$1,192	Trade ↗
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	71.4¢	$6,285	+$673	Trade ↗
Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist in the US for 2026?	No	94.3¢	$5,098	+$232	Trade ↗
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	98.0¢	$4,297	+$37	Trade ↗
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	No	85.7¢	$4,102	-$238	Trade ↗
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	92.0¢	$3,415	+$29	Trade ↗
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	61.9¢	$3,330	-$351	Trade ↗
Will Brock Purdy win the 2026 NFL MVP?	No	91.0¢	$3,152	+$167	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	No	98.4¢	$2,951	+$19	Trade ↗
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	85.6¢	$2,907	+$30	Trade ↗
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	88.5¢	$2,748	+$252	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	12.0¢	$2,500	+$100	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	No	82.6¢	$2,367	-$33	Trade ↗
Will FC Cincinnati win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	95.8¢	$2,269	+$7	Trade ↗
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	84.0¢	$2,135	+$97	Trade ↗
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	69.0¢	$2,085	+$582	Trade ↗
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	70.8¢	$2,046	-$767	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	87.7¢	$2,041	-$29	Trade ↗
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	86.2¢	$2,001	+$176	Trade ↗
Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	83.6¢	$1,956	-$37	Trade ↗
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	24.5¢	$1,925	+$746	Trade ↗
Will Fiona Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	90.0¢	$1,913	+$91	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	11.0¢	$1,862	+$223	Trade ↗
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	93.0¢	$1,842	+$47	Trade ↗
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?	No	87.0¢	$1,805	+$70	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?	No	94.4¢	$1,803	+$22	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	95.8¢	$1,802	+$14	Trade ↗
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	22.6¢	$1,763	+$941	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	73.5¢	$1,760	+$406	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-06 House seat?	No	86.3¢	$1,730	+$81	Trade ↗
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	95.9¢	$1,724	+$69	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?	No	94.8¢	$1,669	+$36	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%?	No	91.5¢	$1,650	+$49	Trade ↗
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	62.6¢	$1,620	+$230	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	85.0¢	$1,578	+$206	Trade ↗
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	No	70.7¢	$1,577	+$447	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	11.7¢	$1,530	-$24	Trade ↗
Will New York Mets win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	No	94.0¢	$1,525	+$89	Trade ↗
Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 NL West title?	Yes	89.6¢	$1,489	+$118	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	82.3¢	$1,488	-$7	Trade ↗
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?	No	80.0¢	$1,469	+$170	Trade ↗
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	70.3¢	$1,455	-$4,079	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	53.0¢	$1,437	-$133	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the WI-08 House seat?	Yes	82.0¢	$1,380	+$150	Trade ↗
Will Pachuca win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?	No	95.5¢	$1,359	+$34	Trade ↗
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?	Yes	64.2¢	$1,354	+$121	Trade ↗
Will Ashley Trail win Big Brother season 28?	No	92.0¢	$1,316	+$105	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the NC-07 House seat?	Yes	80.9¢	$1,257	+$39	Trade ↗
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?	No	75.0¢	$1,236	+$77	Trade ↗
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	92.4¢	$1,216	+$8	Trade ↗
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title?	No	69.3¢	$1,185	-$2,301	Trade ↗
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	10.6¢	$1,180	-$496	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the OH-14 House seat?	Yes	90.0¢	$1,169	+$43	Trade ↗
Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	87.9¢	$1,140	+$33	Trade ↗
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	No	77.9¢	$1,110	+$175	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the NY-11 House seat?	Yes	90.0¢	$1,103	+$41	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	14.4¢	$1,095	+$284	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Yes	78.3¢	$1,084	+$85	Trade ↗
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	94.5¢	$1,071	-$177	Trade ↗
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	81.0¢	$1,024	+$42	Trade ↗
Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP?	No	90.6¢	$1,016	+$16	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the MN-06 House seat?	Yes	83.9¢	$974	+$71	Trade ↗
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	83.4¢	$973	-$20	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-38 House seat?	No	89.0¢	$952	+$62	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the TX-17 House seat?	Yes	87.3¢	$930	+$57	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-04 House seat?	No	87.6¢	$920	+$44	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	No	19.0¢	$917	-$79	Trade ↗
Will Lamar Jackson win the 2026 NFL MVP?	No	86.0¢	$908	+$5	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the TX-27 House seat?	Yes	88.6¢	$905	+$28	Trade ↗
Will Brad Pitt win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	93.1¢	$891	+$58	Trade ↗
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	41.5¢	$889	-$4,421	Trade ↗
Will Monterrey win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?	No	90.0¢	$872	-$24	Trade ↗
Will Pumas UNAM win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?	No	91.4¢	$872	+$22	Trade ↗
Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?	No	70.4¢	$858	+$172	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?	No	73.2¢	$843	-$20	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?	Yes	83.7¢	$834	-$8	Trade ↗
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	81.6¢	$831	-$22	Trade ↗
Will Melody Morris win Big Brother season 28?	No	91.4¢	$825	+$29	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?	No	49.4¢	$820	+$276	Trade ↗
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	89.4¢	$819	-$576	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Yes	72.4¢	$816	+$23	Trade ↗
Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title?	No	19.5¢	$808	-$147	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	79.1¢	$778	-$37	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-01 House seat?	Yes	93.0¢	$742	+$38	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the MS-04 House seat?	Yes	93.1¢	$725	+$27	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the MD-01 House seat?	Yes	83.0¢	$717	+$81	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the KS-02 House seat?	Yes	87.0¢	$713	+$60	Trade ↗
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	70.4¢	$711	+$176	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the TX-14 House seat?	Yes	91.0¢	$709	+$26	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
15d ago	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?	BUY	No	88.0¢	$27,703