WhaleWatcher

Hyperlong

68Qualified whaleProven trader
0x014c4e7ae2145992861c2d1b124af633a97f820c· stats updated 1d ago
Realized PnL
+$330,336
closed + open positions
Return on capital
2%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
100%
500 of 500 resolved
Resolved markets
500
Portfolio value
$570,001
Capital deployed
$14,231,854
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$64,488
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
487

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 21.0/30Return 1.9/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 67.9 / 100

Current positions

MarketOutcomeAvg priceValueUnrealized PnLTrade
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No50.0¢$117,923+$50,423Trade ↗
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No89.5¢$42,907+$3,558Trade ↗
Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North?No75.1¢$23,818+$287Trade ↗
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes29.8¢$22,152+$13,508Trade ↗
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?No93.7¢$19,349-$98Trade ↗
Will Dante Moore win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?No96.5¢$17,823+$485Trade ↗
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes50.0¢$17,078-$50,423Trade ↗
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No91.8¢$10,943+$648Trade ↗
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?No79.1¢$10,803+$1,610Trade ↗
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?No87.8¢$8,492-$1,398Trade ↗
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No95.5¢$7,700+$328Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Yes92.0¢$7,567+$41Trade ↗
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes46.4¢$6,013-$28Trade ↗
Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP?No87.2¢$5,806+$538Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?No97.0¢$5,372+$22Trade ↗
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?No71.4¢$5,292+$1,399Trade ↗
Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist in the US for 2026?No94.3¢$5,114+$247Trade ↗
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No85.1¢$4,877+$293Trade ↗
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?No77.3¢$4,705-$243Trade ↗
Will Illinois win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship?No90.6¢$4,500-$30Trade ↗
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?No98.0¢$4,269+$8Trade ↗
Will Knight win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?No90.2¢$4,173+$181Trade ↗
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?No76.0¢$4,149+$868Trade ↗
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?No61.5¢$3,930+$1Trade ↗
Will Philadelphia Flyers be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?No94.0¢$2,969+$114Trade ↗
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship?No95.8¢$2,944+$58Trade ↗
Will Las Vegas Raiders win the 2026 AFC West?No89.1¢$2,868+$171Trade ↗
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?No89.0¢$2,836-$169Trade ↗
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?No84.0¢$2,368+$330Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?No91.1¢$2,336+$184Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes80.5¢$2,333-$1Trade ↗
Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No83.0¢$2,161-$27Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?No67.4¢$2,113-$525Trade ↗
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?No69.0¢$2,058+$555Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?No82.6¢$2,037-$29Trade ↗
Will Brock Purdy win the 2026 NFL MVP?No91.0¢$2,034-$533Trade ↗
Trump out as President before 2027?No86.2¢$2,029+$205Trade ↗
Will Fiona Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?Yes90.0¢$1,946+$124Trade ↗
Will Sam Rockwell win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No86.2¢$1,884+$143Trade ↗
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?No90.7¢$1,861+$61Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?No95.8¢$1,853+$66Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?No94.4¢$1,851+$70Trade ↗
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?No93.0¢$1,842+$47Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No73.5¢$1,813+$458Trade ↗
Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?No91.5¢$1,812+$116Trade ↗
Will Denis Villeneuve win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?No82.6¢$1,798+$60Trade ↗
Will "Disclosure Day" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No91.5¢$1,728+$69Trade ↗
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No95.9¢$1,725+$71Trade ↗
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Yes16.0¢$1,707+$518Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the GA-01 House seat?Yes86.4¢$1,706-$28Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No71.8¢$1,705+$203Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%?No91.5¢$1,705+$103Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No12.0¢$1,700-$700Trade ↗
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?No94.8¢$1,691+$59Trade ↗
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?No62.6¢$1,687+$297Trade ↗
Will Amber Glenn win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?No86.4¢$1,655-$28Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?No7.4¢$1,585+$687Trade ↗
Will Zeus win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?No91.3¢$1,573+$92Trade ↗
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No88.7¢$1,525+$151Trade ↗
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?No27.4¢$1,516-$107Trade ↗
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?No91.0¢$1,498-$55Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-06 House seat?No86.3¢$1,446+$148Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the TX-27 House seat?Yes89.7¢$1,414+$77Trade ↗
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?No24.5¢$1,372+$193Trade ↗
Will Pachuca win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?No95.5¢$1,369+$43Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?No16.7¢$1,357+$546Trade ↗
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?No75.0¢$1,337+$178Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?No94.7¢$1,268+$5Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes11.0¢$1,266-$372Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-23 House seat?No87.2¢$1,223+$133Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the OH-14 House seat?Yes90.0¢$1,202+$77Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes11.7¢$1,197-$676Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the NC-07 House seat?Yes80.9¢$1,181-$36Trade ↗
Will Werwulf win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?No79.2¢$1,170-$241Trade ↗
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No45.1¢$1,170+$155Trade ↗
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes10.6¢$1,148-$527Trade ↗
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?No81.0¢$1,139+$158Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the NY-11 House seat?Yes90.0¢$1,098+$36Trade ↗
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?No71.2¢$1,062-$4,541Trade ↗
Will Fluminense win Brazil Série A?No97.1¢$1,052+$30Trade ↗
Will Digger win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?No72.5¢$1,033+$66Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?No19.0¢$1,022+$26Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-38 House seat?No89.0¢$966+$75Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the TX-17 House seat?Yes87.3¢$965+$92Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No53.0¢$963-$607Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes20.0¢$935+$254Trade ↗
Will Kansas be the closest Senate race in 2026?No85.3¢$930-$8Trade ↗
Will Arizona win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship?No93.3¢$923+$24Trade ↗
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2026 NFL MVP?No96.0¢$908+$34Trade ↗
Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?No70.4¢$907+$221Trade ↗
Will Pumas UNAM win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?No91.4¢$905+$55Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-04 House seat?No87.6¢$900+$24Trade ↗
Will Canada win the 2026-27 CONCACAF Nations League?No85.0¢$891+$31Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?No49.4¢$887+$383Trade ↗
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?No21.5¢$886+$40Trade ↗
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?No85.6¢$884+$110Trade ↗
Will Once Upon a Time in Harlem win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?No83.0¢$878+$144Trade ↗
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No97.0¢$835+$6Trade ↗
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes10.9¢$815-$799Trade ↗
Will American Doctor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?No73.1¢$809+$202Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

TimeMarketSideOutcomePriceSize
5d agoWill Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?BUYNo93.7¢$19,447
32d agoWill Dante Moore win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?BUYNo96.5¢$17,338
61d agoWill Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUYNo88.0¢$27,703