11122

83Qualified whaleProven trader

0x011f2d377e56119fb09196dffb0948ae55711122· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$7,243,508

closed + open positions

Return on capital

10%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$453,493

Capital deployed

$75,950,101

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$13,951

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

218

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 8.0/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -0.3Total 82.7 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	53.1¢	$120,181	+$39,840	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	39.6¢	$57,352	-$12,483	Trade ↗
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	86.6¢	$36,972	+$300	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	23.8¢	$20,268	+$598	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	33.4¢	$18,558	+$329	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	43.1¢	$12,167	-$3,022	Trade ↗
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	2.0¢	$10,894	+$3,008	Trade ↗
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	3.0¢	$9,889	+$6,780	Trade ↗
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	1.2¢	$8,244	+$4,215	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	34.0¢	$7,245	+$97	Trade ↗
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	5.0¢	$6,823	+$1,626	Trade ↗
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	96.2¢	$6,797	+$63	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	1.8¢	$6,100	-$21	Trade ↗
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	96.5¢	$5,916	+$123	Trade ↗
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1.7¢	$5,603	+$1,050	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	19.0¢	$5,333	-$1,299	Trade ↗
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50.0¢	$5,138	-$7,362	Trade ↗
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	2.4¢	$5,020	+$1,434	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	4.3¢	$5,017	+$2,591	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	30.6¢	$4,876	+$552	Trade ↗
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	1.0¢	$4,713	+$2,490	Trade ↗
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	2.0¢	$4,530	+$1,834	Trade ↗
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	7.1¢	$4,402	+$2,499	Trade ↗
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	1.4¢	$4,401	+$2,385	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	3.5¢	$4,379	+$2,796	Trade ↗
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1.5¢	$4,168	+$141	Trade ↗
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	3.3¢	$3,381	+$1,164	Trade ↗
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.8¢	$3,338	+$1,779	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	16.4¢	$3,337	-$3,485	Trade ↗
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	1.0¢	$3,036	+$726	Trade ↗
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.4¢	$2,779	+$1,228	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	51.5¢	$2,489	-$1,027	Trade ↗
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.5¢	$2,469	+$825	Trade ↗
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	10.5¢	$2,377	+$776	Trade ↗
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	2.4¢	$2,359	+$963	Trade ↗
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.3¢	$2,211	+$1,972	Trade ↗
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.6¢	$1,929	+$90	Trade ↗
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1.1¢	$1,507	+$205	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	38.0¢	$1,491	+$173	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.5¢	$1,461	+$950	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	42.0¢	$1,376	-$208	Trade ↗
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	47.8¢	$1,324	+$33	Trade ↗
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	40.0¢	$1,323	-$1,703	Trade ↗
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	28.8¢	$1,301	-$171	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	6.2¢	$1,299	-$9,398	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	58.2¢	$1,265	-$15	Trade ↗
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	52.3¢	$1,262	-$127	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	40.8¢	$1,258	-$275	Trade ↗
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.1¢	$1,242	+$684	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	2.1¢	$1,241	-$83	Trade ↗
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.7¢	$1,131	+$366	Trade ↗
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	35.4¢	$1,129	+$358	Trade ↗
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	23.3¢	$1,061	+$92	Trade ↗
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.5¢	$997	+$329	Trade ↗
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1.1¢	$839	+$348	Trade ↗
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.7¢	$646	+$252	Trade ↗
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.7¢	$614	+$113	Trade ↗
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.4¢	$593	-$175	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.7¢	$555	-$110	Trade ↗
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.1¢	$541	+$324	Trade ↗
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1.2¢	$508	+$198	Trade ↗
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	0.3¢	$477	+$398	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	71.4¢	$472	+$115	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	91.8¢	$458	+$22	Trade ↗
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	1.0¢	$427	+$133	Trade ↗
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$400	+$120	Trade ↗
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.6¢	$385	-$294	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Yes	74.6¢	$380	-$430	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	No	90.0¢	$370	+$10	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	54.0¢	$333	+$72	Trade ↗
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$318	+$143	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	58.7¢	$307	-$6	Trade ↗
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	Yes	41.0¢	$295	+$90	Trade ↗
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?	No	75.3¢	$293	+$68	Trade ↗
Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	90.0¢	$290	+$20	Trade ↗
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.3¢	$289	-$219	Trade ↗
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.2¢	$287	-$80	Trade ↗
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?	Yes	13.0¢	$269	+$160	Trade ↗
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	2.7¢	$264	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	No	12.0¢	$255	-$105	Trade ↗
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$236	-$119	Trade ↗
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	0.8¢	$231	-$163	Trade ↗
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	0.9¢	$229	+$21	Trade ↗
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$226	-$146	Trade ↗
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$195	-$11	Trade ↗
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.3¢	$191	+$49	Trade ↗
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.3¢	$186	-$229	Trade ↗
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.4¢	$185	-$358	Trade ↗
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	1.6¢	$171	-$119	Trade ↗
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.6¢	$161	-$129	Trade ↗
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	18.0¢	$159	+$37	Trade ↗
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.3¢	$150	+$65	Trade ↗
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.8¢	$139	+$64	Trade ↗
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	1.1¢	$136	+$82	Trade ↗
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	1.2¢	$134	-$96	Trade ↗
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$131	-$75	Trade ↗
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	1.3¢	$128	+$63	Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	45.8¢	$127	-$273	Trade ↗
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	0.3¢	$124	+$13	Trade ↗
Will Steph Curry's next team be Golden State Warriors?	No	5.5¢	$111	-$6	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
5d ago	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	SELL	Yes	28.0¢	$13,951